Who will win Le Moyne vs UCF?
The model gives UCF a 98% chance to beat Le Moyne, with a projected score of UCF 80, Le Moyne 53.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UCF | |||||
| Chandler-RobertsF · 30 min | 15.8 | 6.6 | 1.5 | 15+ 54% | |
| BlasighG · 31 min | 13.1 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 15+ 37% | |
| RosebyG · 25 min | 12.2 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 10+ 63% | |
| JonesG · 27 min | 12.1 | 3.1 | 4.8 | 10+ 63% | |
 Le Moyne | |||||
| NicholsG · 28 min | 10.0 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 10+ 48% | |
| MoxeyF · 26 min | 8.8 | 6.5 | 1.2 | 10+ 39% | |
| DincherG · 20 min | 6.8 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 5+ 64% | |
| BuragasF · 26 min | 6.3 | 6.1 | 1.7 | 5+ 59% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Vittoria Blasigh: Le Moyne 2%UCF 98%
The white mark is the call with her: UCF 98%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | UCF without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | ||||
| Vittoria Blasigh | 1.6 | 98% | 0 | 54–79 |
| Caitlyn Jones | 1.1 | 98% | 0 | 54–80 |
| Mahogany Chandler-Roberts | 1.0 | 98% | 0 | 54–80 |
| Key Roseby | 0.9 | 98% | 0 | 54–80 |
Change is in UCF's win chance, in points. Scores read Le Moyne, then UCF. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Le Moyne 1-2LLW
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 48.0 and allowing 73.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
UCF 3-1WLWW
- Nov 11W 64-59vs Austin Peay
- Nov 9W 85-59vs South Alabama
- Nov 5L 65-95at Florida
- Nov 3W 85-56vs Florida A&M
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 74.8 and allowing 67.2
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Le Moyne | UCF | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 78.3 333rd | 93.4 135th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 108.5 362nd | 94.6 184th |
| Possessions a game | 70.1 334th | 72.3 148th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.2% 263rd | 49.4% 22nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.5% 125th | 44.0% 91st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.9% 318th | 24.9% 282nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.5% 255th | 29.8% 325th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.19 323rd | 0.22 129th |
The widest gap: UCF's offense (135th) against Le Moyne's defense (362nd), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Le Moyne 24, UCF 39
- First-half margin
- UCF by 15.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.2
- Projected second half
- Le Moyne 29, UCF 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 70.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Le Moyne, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 25.7 scored, 39.7 allowed
- UCF, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 35.8 scored, 29.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Le Moyne
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli ClarkG | 28 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 55% | |||||
| Gianna NicholsG | 28 | 10.0 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 2+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 53% | |||||
| Kendal MoxeyF | 26 | 8.8 | 6.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 7+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 32% | |||||
| Ashley BuragasF | 26 | 6.3 | 6.1 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 6+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
| Peyton DincherG | 20 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 2+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 38% | |||||
| Kayden ClarkG | 17 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 52% to play · 5+ pts 23% · 2+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Sydney PostellF | 15 | 5.2 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Praise MatthewsF | 15 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 3+ reb 46% | |||||
Missed the last game: Kayden Clark (16 min a game).
UCF
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vittoria BlasighG | 31 | 13.1 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 1.6 |
| 15+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 45% | |||||
| Mahogany Chandler-RobertsF | 30 | 15.8 | 6.6 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 15+ pts 54% · 7+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Caitlyn JonesG | 27 | 12.1 | 3.1 | 4.8 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 55% · 5+ ast 51% | |||||
| Candace KpetikouC | 26 | 7.5 | 7.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 7+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 22% | |||||
| Key RosebyG | 25 | 12.2 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 2+ ast 50% · 2+ threes 51% | |||||
| Nyla McFaddenG | 21 | 6.4 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 5+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 35% | |||||
| Jasmynne GibsonF | 18 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 5+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 26% | |||||
| Kya HurtG | 10 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 56% to play · 5+ pts 37% · 2+ reb 32% · 2+ ast 36% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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