Who will win Le Moyne vs Miami?
The model gives Miami a >99% chance to beat Le Moyne, with a projected score of Miami 89, Le Moyne 44.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miami | |||||
| RavivG · 29 min | 14.3 | 3.5 | 5.1 | 15+ 45% | |
| AdamsG · 28 min | 11.8 | 5.9 | 2.9 | 10+ 61% | |
| KimpsonG · 28 min | 11.1 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 10+ 57% | |
| ZodiaC · 18 min | 9.2 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 10+ 42% | |
 Le Moyne | |||||
| NicholsG · 27 min | 8.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 10+ 37% | |
| MoxeyF · 25 min | 7.5 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 5+ 69% | |
| DincherG · 20 min | 5.9 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 5+ 56% | |
| BuragasF · 25 min | 5.4 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 5+ 50% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Ahnay Adams: Le Moyne <1%Miami >99%
The white mark is the call with her: Miami >99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Miami without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | ||||
| Ahnay Adams | 3.9 | >99% | 0 | 46–87 |
| Gal Raviv | 3.9 | >99% | 0 | 46–87 |
| Amarachi Kimpson | 3.7 | >99% | 0 | 46–87 |
| Gianna Corbitt | 3.2 | >99% | 0 | 45–87 |
Change is in Miami's win chance, in points. Scores read Le Moyne, then Miami. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Le Moyne 1-2LLW
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 48.0 and allowing 73.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
Miami 4-0WWWW
- Nov 12W 78-46vs Saint Peter's
- Nov 8W 79-39vs Stetson
- Nov 5W 79-63vs Jacksonville
- Nov 2W 75-48vs FAU
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 77.8 and allowing 49.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Le Moyne | Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 78.3 333rd | 106.7 31st |
| Points allowed per 100 | 108.5 362nd | 84.5 56th |
| Possessions a game | 70.1 334th | 71.0 285th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.2% 263rd | 49.7% 15th |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.5% 125th | 44.0% 85th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.9% 318th | 23.4% 178th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.5% 255th | 37.1% 29th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.19 323rd | 0.21 216th |
The widest gap: Miami's offense (31st) against Le Moyne's defense (362nd), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Le Moyne 19, Miami 44
- First-half margin
- Miami by 26.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.0
- Projected second half
- Le Moyne 25, Miami 45
- Second-half points, both teams
- 69.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Le Moyne, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 25.7 scored, 39.7 allowed
- Miami, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 40.0 scored, 21.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Le Moyne
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli ClarkG | 28 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 3+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Gianna NicholsG | 27 | 8.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 2+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 41% | |||||
| Kendal MoxeyF | 25 | 7.5 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 6+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 24% | |||||
| Ashley BuragasF | 25 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 5+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 36% | |||||
| Peyton DincherG | 20 | 5.9 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 2+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 65% | |||||
| Kayden ClarkG | 17 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 52% to play · 5+ pts 19% · 2+ reb 36% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Sydney PostellF | 16 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Praise MatthewsF | 15 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 20% · 3+ reb 40% | |||||
Missed the last game: Kayden Clark (16 min a game).
Miami
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gal RavivG | 29 | 14.3 | 3.5 | 5.1 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 45% · 4+ reb 43% · 5+ ast 56% | |||||
| Amarachi KimpsonG | 28 | 11.1 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 2+ reb 61% · 2+ ast 59% | |||||
| Ahnay AdamsG | 28 | 11.8 | 5.9 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 6+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 53% | |||||
| Gianna CorbittF | 20 | 7.8 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 6+ reb 53% · 3+ ast 48% | |||||
| Natalie WetzelF | 19 | 6.8 | 5.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 6+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Jess-Mine ZodiaC | 18 | 9.2 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 5+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 31% | |||||
| Anna LiepinaF | 17 | 7.3 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 4+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 34% | |||||
| Dayana MendesG | 17 | 5.6 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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