Youngstown St at Colorado
Women's · Saturday, November 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET at CU Events Center. Youngstown St our rank 136 · 2-1; Colorado our rank 36 · 3-0.
Who will win Youngstown St vs Colorado?
The model gives Colorado a 96% chance to beat Youngstown State, with a projected score of Colorado 74, Youngstown St 51.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado | |||||
| GreerF · 25 min | 13.5 | 5.6 | 1.2 | 15+ 40% | |
| WalkerG · 25 min | 11.2 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 10+ 57% | |
| AdlerC · 18 min | 9.7 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 10+ 46% | |
| SandersG · 24 min | 9.0 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 10+ 41% | |
| Youngstown St | |||||
| HernandezF · 24 min | 9.0 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 10+ 41% | |
| BakerF · 24 min | 7.7 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 10+ 31% | |
| CameronG · 29 min | 7.3 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 5+ 67% | |
| KalichF · 24 min | 7.2 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 5+ 67% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Zyanna Walker: Youngstown St 7%Colorado 93%
The white mark is the call with her: Colorado 96%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Colorado without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado | ||||
| Zyanna Walker | 3.9 | 93% | −3 | 53–72 |
| Logyn Greer | 3.8 | 93% | −3 | 53–72 |
| Kennedy Sanders | 3.2 | 94% | −2 | 52–72 |
| Anete Adler | 2.1 | 95% | −1 | 52–73 |
| Youngstown St | ||||
| Paulina Hernandez | 2.3 | 98% | +2 | 50–75 |
| Sarah Baker | 1.6 | 97% | +1 | 50–74 |
| Jada Leonard | 1.2 | 97% | +1 | 50–74 |
| Danielle Cameron | 0.9 | 97% | +1 | 50–74 |
Change is in Colorado's win chance, in points. Scores read Youngstown St, then Colorado. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Youngstown St 2-1WWL
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 81.7 and allowing 50.7
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Youngstown St | Colorado | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 89.5 185th | 102.9 52nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 88.5 85th | 79.2 19th |
| Possessions a game | 72.0 179th | 71.3 251st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 45.3% 186th | 46.6% 116th |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.6% 181st | 44.0% 87th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.9% 54th | 22.4% 88th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 28.4% 352nd | 33.5% 146th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 192nd | 0.21 190th |
The widest gap: Colorado's defense (19th) against Youngstown St's offense (185th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Youngstown St 23, Colorado 36
- First-half margin
- Colorado by 13.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 59.0
- Projected second half
- Youngstown St 28, Colorado 38
- Second-half points, both teams
- 65.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Youngstown St, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 35.3 scored, 29.3 allowed
- Colorado, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 36.3 scored, 17.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Youngstown St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle CameronG | 29 | 7.3 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 3+ reb 48% · 2+ threes 46% | |||||
| Evelyn McKnightG | 26 | 7.1 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 3+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 54% | |||||
| Erica KingG | 26 | 6.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Mia KalichF | 24 | 7.2 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 6+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 39% | |||||
| Sarah BakerF | 24 | 7.7 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 34% | |||||
| Paulina HernandezF | 24 | 9.0 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 4+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
| Jada LeonardG | 22 | 7.2 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 2+ ast 47% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Hayden BarrierG | 13 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 37% · 2+ reb 17% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
Colorado
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zyanna WalkerG | 25 | 11.2 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 5+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 61% | |||||
| Logyn GreerF | 25 | 13.5 | 5.6 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| 15+ pts 40% · 6+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Kennedy SandersG | 24 | 9.0 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 2+ reb 59% · 3+ ast 58% | |||||
| Mecailin MarshallG | 24 | 9.0 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 37% | |||||
| Anete AdlerC | 18 | 9.7 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 4+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Jade CrookC | 18 | 4.9 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 4+ reb 47% | |||||
| Claire O'ConnorG | 17 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 32% | |||||
| Kira ReynoldsF | 12 | 5.8 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 4+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 21% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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