South Alabama at Kennesaw St
Women's · Sunday, November 15, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at VyStar Arena. South Alabama our rank 290 · 1-3; Kennesaw St our rank 330 · 2-2.
Who will win South Alabama vs Kennesaw St?
The model gives South Alabama a 55% chance to beat Kennesaw State, with a projected score of South Alabama 65, Kennesaw St 63.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama | |||||
| WilsonG · 34 min | 18.5 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 20+ 41% | |
| CejaF · 37 min | 13.0 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 15+ 37% | |
| CoffilG · 26 min | 12.2 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 10+ 63% | |
| OrianegbenaF · 24 min | 5.0 | 9.0 | 0.9 | 5+ 46% | |
| Kennesaw St | |||||
| NicholsG · 29 min | 10.1 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 10+ 49% | |
| FlowersG · 32 min | 8.8 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 10+ 40% | |
| BershersF · 23 min | 6.7 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 5+ 63% | |
| TalbertG · 33 min | 5.6 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 5+ 52% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Tracey Bershers: South Alabama 58%Kennesaw St 42%
The white mark is the call with her: South Alabama 55%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | South Alabama without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennesaw St | ||||
| Tracey Bershers | 0.7 | 58% | +3 | 65–63 |
Change is in South Alabama's win chance, in points. Scores read South Alabama, then Kennesaw St. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
South Alabama 1-3WLLL
- Nov 11L 57-85at FAUDidn't cover +9.5 · Over 131.5
- Nov 9L 59-85at UCF
- Nov 7L 59-73vs UAB
- Nov 2W 75-74at Akron
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 62.5 and allowing 79.2
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
Kennesaw St 2-2WWLL
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 54.2 and allowing 57.8
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| South Alabama | Kennesaw St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 86.5 239th | 75.5 352nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 102.4 328th | 96.8 236th |
| Possessions a game | 73.0 96th | 71.8 200th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 42.3% 334th | 42.3% 334th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.2% 223rd | 46.6% 250th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.8% 51st | 25.9% 320th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.6% 192nd | 28.8% 346th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 95th | 0.21 170th |
First half
- Projected halftime score
- South Alabama 31, Kennesaw St 30
- First-half margin
- South Alabama by 0.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 60.7
- Projected second half
- South Alabama 34, Kennesaw St 33
- Second-half points, both teams
- 67.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- South Alabama, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 30.5 scored, 35.8 allowed
- Kennesaw St, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 29.8 scored, 28.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
South Alabama
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julieta CejaF | 37 | 13.0 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 37% · 5+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| CJ WilsonG | 34 | 18.5 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 20+ pts 41% · 6+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Terren CoffilG | 26 | 12.2 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Deborah OrianegbenaF | 24 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 9+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 22% | |||||
| Cam GolstonG | 24 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 32% | |||||
| Jaida RedwineG | 19 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 3+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 31% | |||||
| Jolie MantzG | 16 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Aroa MangasG | 11 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 2+ reb 26% · 2+ ast 15% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
Kennesaw St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley TalbertG | 33 | 5.6 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 58% | |||||
| Kaelyn FlowersG | 32 | 8.8 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 3+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Shania NicholsG | 29 | 10.1 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 5+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Tracey BershersF | 23 | 6.7 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 4+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 38% | |||||
| Kayla SullivanF | 20 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Arissa JenkinsG | 20 | 5.3 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Madyson ElliottG | 17 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 52% to play · 5+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 29% | |||||
| Cameron WadeG | 15 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 2+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
Missed the last game: Madyson Elliott (19 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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