Who will win Wofford vs Charlotte?
The model gives Charlotte a 73% chance to beat Wofford, with a projected score of Charlotte 68, Wofford 61.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Charlotte | |||||
| SainG · 30 min | 11.3 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 10+ 57% | |
| BestG · 30 min | 10.7 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 10+ 53% | |
| ThompsonF · 22 min | 8.9 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 10+ 40% | |
| ClarkG · 21 min | 7.8 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 10+ 32% | |
 Wofford | |||||
| HeissG · 33 min | 11.1 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 10+ 56% | |
| MundyG · 23 min | 10.1 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 10+ 49% | |
| WhiteheadG · 30 min | 9.5 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 10+ 44% | |
| MasingaleG · 34 min | 7.7 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 10+ 31% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Da'Brya Clark: Wofford 30%Charlotte 70%
The white mark is the call with her: Charlotte 73%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Charlotte without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte | ||||
| Da'Brya Clark | 1.0 | 70% | −3 | 61–68 |
| Isis Johnson-Musah | 0.8 | 70% | −3 | 61–68 |
| Zoe Best | 0.7 | 71% | −2 | 61–68 |
| Ja'Navia Gage | 0.6 | 71% | −2 | 61–68 |
| Wofford | ||||
| Sayler Lowe | 0.7 | 74% | +1 | 60–69 |
Change is in Charlotte's win chance, in points. Scores read Wofford, then Charlotte. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Wofford 3-1LWWW
- Nov 10W 64-42vs North Greenville
- Nov 8W 64-60at Georgia St
- Nov 5W 78-60vs King (TN)
- Nov 2L 50-80at NC State
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 64.0 and allowing 60.5
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Wofford | Charlotte | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 86.9 233rd | 91.8 153rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 94.1 174th | 96.5 228th |
| Possessions a game | 70.8 296th | 71.3 251st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 43.8% 289th | 45.9% 143rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.9% 204th | 48.4% 326th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.3% 82nd | 25.3% 296th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.8% 130th | 33.2% 155th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 217th | 0.22 138th |
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Wofford 28, Charlotte 33
- First-half margin
- Charlotte by 4.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 61.1
- Projected second half
- Wofford 32, Charlotte 35
- Second-half points, both teams
- 67.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Wofford, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 33.8 scored, 30.8 allowed
- Charlotte, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 26.3 scored, 38.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Wofford
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly MasingaleG | 34 | 7.7 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Maddie HeissG | 33 | 11.1 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 4+ reb 53% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Mearah WhiteheadG | 30 | 9.5 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 4+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Gabby MundyG | 23 | 10.1 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 50% to play · 10+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Courtney SwiderF | 22 | 3.9 | 5.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 5+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 32% | |||||
| Angelina PelayoF | 20 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 5+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 24% | |||||
| Elli PorterG | 18 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| 52% to play · 5+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 32% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Sienna WolfeG | 14 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 2+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
Missed the last game: Elli Porter (19 min a game) and Gabby Mundy (23 min a game).
Charlotte
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariah SainG | 30 | 11.3 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 4+ reb 49% · 3+ ast 51% | |||||
| Zoe BestG | 30 | 10.7 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 4+ reb 55% · 2+ threes 53% | |||||
| Charish ThompsonF | 22 | 8.9 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 29% | |||||
| Da'Brya ClarkG | 21 | 7.8 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 62% | |||||
| Isis Johnson-MusahF | 18 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 3+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
| Alana RouserF | 18 | 6.2 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 6+ reb 45% | |||||
| Destinee SalgadoF | 17 | 6.4 | 4.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 4+ reb 57% | |||||
| Ja'Navia GageF | 16 | 3.6 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 31% · 6+ reb 45% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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