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MD Eastern at Monmouth

Women's · Saturday, November 21, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at Hackensack Meridian Athletic Center. MD Eastern our rank 287 · 1-2; Monmouth our rank 118 · 2-1.

Who will win MD Eastern vs Monmouth?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Monmouth a 95% chance to beat Maryland Eastern Shore, with a projected score of Monmouth 72, MD Eastern 52.

To winMonmouth 95%MD Eastern 5%
Projected score52–72MD Eastern, then Monmouth
Margin20.8Monmouth · no line posted
Total123.9no line posted
First half23–35Monmouth ahead 87%
MD Eastern by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30by 40Monmouth by 50Model: Monmouth by 20.8MD Eastern by 10by 10by 30Monmouth by 50Model: Monmouth by 20.8

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Monmouth
GambleG · 34 min23.43.52.025+ 42%
DibulaF · 30 min18.38.61.320+ 40%
McManusG · 26 min11.53.61.610+ 59%
KersaintG · 31 min6.55.72.05+ 61%
MD Eastern
MooreG · 22 min6.43.20.95+ 60%
WilsonG · 21 min6.21.51.15+ 58%
PerryF · 24 min5.64.50.55+ 52%
JeffersF · 20 min5.63.80.75+ 53%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Divine Dibula: MD Eastern 9%Monmouth 91%

The white mark is the call with her: Monmouth 95%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsMonmouth without herChangeProjected score
Monmouth
Divine Dibula3.591%−453–71
Gigi Gamble2.393%−253–71
Kathy Kersaint1.494%−152–72
Madalena Amaro0.994%−152–72

Change is in Monmouth's win chance, in points. Scores read MD Eastern, then Monmouth. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    MD Eastern 1-2LWL

    1. Nov 12L 58-89at Georgia Tech
    2. Nov 7W 90-52vs District of Columbia
    3. Nov 2L 45-87at Virginia
    Last 3
    1–2, scoring 64.3 and allowing 76.0

    Monmouth 2-1WWL

    1. Nov 11L 62-64at Rutgers
    2. Nov 6W 75-67vs Lehigh
    3. Nov 2W 63-40vs Binghamton
    Last 3
    2–1, scoring 66.7 and allowing 57.0

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    MD EasternMonmouth
    Points scored per 100 possessions80.6 312th90.9 166th
    Points allowed per 10096.3 224th87.2 68th
    Possessions a game73.7 57th71.4 234th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)44.1% 270th45.5% 178th
    Opponents' shooting45.6% 178th43.0% 42nd
    Turnovers, share of possessions25.9% 319th24.6% 264th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses29.7% 326th32.2% 211th
    Free throws per shot0.22 127th0.22 99th

    The widest gap: Monmouth's defense (68th) against MD Eastern's offense (312th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    MD Eastern 23, Monmouth 35
    First-half margin
    Monmouth by 12.0
    First-half points, both teams
    58.8
    Projected second half
    MD Eastern 28, Monmouth 37
    Second-half points, both teams
    65.2
    Tied at the half
    4%
    MD Eastern, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 3 · 27.3 scored, 36.3 allowed
    Monmouth, first halves so far
    Led 3 of 3 · 34.7 scored, 24.7 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    MD Eastern

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Jailynn ClaytonG252.92.11.40.2
    5+ pts 24% · 2+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 40%
    Tahj-Monet BloomF255.14.61.00.5
    5+ pts 47% · 5+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 39%
    Kalise HillG245.11.92.00.4
    5+ pts 48% · 2+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 55%
    Kaliya PerryF245.64.50.50.1
    46% to play · 5+ pts 52% · 5+ reb 45%
    Mak MooreG226.43.20.90.8
    5+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 51%
    Chasity WilsonG216.21.51.10.5
    5+ pts 58% · 2+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 38%
    Marley JeffersF205.63.80.70.1
    5+ pts 53% · 4+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 15%
    Aliza MurrayG195.11.91.20.8
    5+ pts 47% · 2+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 50%

    Missed the last game: Kaliya Perry (28 min a game).

    Monmouth

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Madalena AmaroG354.85.74.90.7
    5+ pts 44% · 6+ reb 48% · 5+ ast 53%
    Gigi GambleG3423.43.52.02.7
    25+ pts 42% · 2+ ast 55% · 3+ threes 46%
    Kathy KersaintG316.55.72.00.6
    5+ pts 61% · 6+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 56%
    Divine DibulaF3018.38.61.30.3
    20+ pts 40% · 9+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 36%
    Vanessa McManusG2611.53.61.61.4
    10+ pts 59% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 45%
    Kailah CorreaG165.01.41.20.5
    5+ pts 47% · 2+ reb 39% · 1+ threes 37%
    Kellyn PreiraG111.91.10.80.4
    2+ reb 30% · 2+ ast 18% · 1+ threes 35%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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