SC Upstate at Tennessee Tech
Women's · Saturday, November 21, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at Hooper Eblen Center. SC Upstate our rank 298 · 3-1; Tennessee Tech our rank 276 · 1-2.
Who will win SC Upstate vs Tennessee Tech?
The model gives Tennessee Tech a 69% chance to beat South Carolina Upstate, with a projected score of Tennessee Tech 68, SC Upstate 62.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Tech | |||||
| MartinG · 33 min | 12.4 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 10+ 64% | |
| CawthornF · 25 min | 11.1 | 8.8 | 1.0 | 10+ 56% | |
| DavisG · 33 min | 10.6 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 10+ 52% | |
| FreemanG · 27 min | 9.3 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 10+ 43% | |
| SC Upstate | |||||
| BoothG · 29 min | 11.8 | 8.8 | 1.7 | 10+ 61% | |
| KierschtG · 21 min | 9.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 10+ 42% | |
| HudsonG · 20 min | 8.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 10+ 37% | |
| BlairF · 22 min | 7.1 | 6.3 | 0.4 | 5+ 66% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Karson Martin: SC Upstate 34%Tennessee Tech 66%
The white mark is the call with her: Tennessee Tech 69%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Tennessee Tech without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Tech | ||||
| Karson Martin | 1.0 | 66% | −3 | 63–68 |
| LaReesha Cawthorn | 1.0 | 66% | −3 | 63–68 |
| SC Upstate | ||||
| Grace Booth | 0.7 | 71% | +2 | 62–69 |
Change is in Tennessee Tech's win chance, in points. Scores read SC Upstate, then Tennessee Tech. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
SC Upstate 3-1LWWW
- Nov 10W 54-50at SC State
- Nov 7W 68-33vs Southern Wesleyan
- Nov 4W 82-51vs Johnson
- Nov 2L 58-65at Wake Forest
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 65.5 and allowing 49.8
Tennessee Tech 1-2LWL
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 73.3 and allowing 87.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| SC Upstate | Tennessee Tech | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 78.4 329th | 90.1 177th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 95.1 198th | 105.0 348th |
| Possessions a game | 70.8 296th | 72.6 129th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 45.1% 199th | 45.6% 166th |
| Opponents' shooting | 42.4% 24th | 49.9% 357th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.2% 289th | 21.3% 31st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 35.6% 55th | 30.5% 298th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 219th | 0.19 325th |
First half
- Projected halftime score
- SC Upstate 29, Tennessee Tech 33
- First-half margin
- Tennessee Tech by 3.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 61.9
- Projected second half
- SC Upstate 33, Tennessee Tech 36
- Second-half points, both teams
- 68.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- SC Upstate, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 32.8 scored, 28.2 allowed
- Tennessee Tech, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 33.7 scored, 42.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
SC Upstate
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace BoothG | 29 | 11.8 | 8.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 9+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 48% | |||||
| Lexi CastatorG | 23 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Emma BlairF | 22 | 7.1 | 6.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 6+ reb 56% | |||||
| Kinley PatersonG | 22 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 3+ reb 58% · 3+ ast 47% | |||||
| Aubrie KierschtG | 21 | 9.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.9 |
| 29% to play · 10+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 52% | |||||
| Vera SoderblomF | 20 | 5.6 | 6.9 | 1.0 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 7+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 25% | |||||
| Keira HudsonG | 20 | 8.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Haylie LamondeG | 20 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 2+ reb 61% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
Missed the last game: Aubrie Kierscht (23 min a game).
Tennessee Tech
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karson MartinG | 33 | 12.4 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 42% · 3+ ast 59% | |||||
| Savannah DavisG | 33 | 10.6 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 3+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 57% | |||||
| Evie FreemanG | 27 | 9.3 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 45% · 3+ ast 56% | |||||
| LaReesha CawthornF | 25 | 11.1 | 8.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 9+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 25% | |||||
| Morgan SieperG | 25 | 6.5 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Amaya ReddF | 17 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 5+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 27% | |||||
| Amelia PfeifferC | 10 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 3+ reb 52% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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