N Colorado at Denver
Women's · Tuesday, November 24, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Hamilton Gymnasium. N Colorado our rank 185 · 2-1; Denver our rank 286 · 1-3.
Who will win N Colorado vs Denver?
The model gives Northern Colorado a 66% chance to beat Denver, with a projected score of N Colorado 68, Denver 63.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N Colorado | |||||
| WestF · 29 min | 14.9 | 11.3 | 1.6 | 15+ 48% | |
| BaymonG · 25 min | 14.2 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 15+ 44% | |
| GeorgeG · 25 min | 8.8 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 10+ 39% | |
| GalbraithG · 22 min | 8.0 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 10+ 34% | |
| Denver | |||||
| BakerG · 36 min | 12.2 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 10+ 63% | |
| MonclovaG · 37 min | 10.7 | 6.7 | 2.6 | 10+ 53% | |
| MurrellF · 27 min | 10.7 | 8.8 | 0.7 | 10+ 53% | |
| PadillaG · 26 min | 7.3 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 5+ 67% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Tatum West: N Colorado 59%Denver 41%
The white mark is the call with her: N Colorado 66%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | N Colorado without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N Colorado | ||||
| Tatum West | 2.6 | 59% | −7 | 67–64 |
| Heather Baymon | 0.9 | 64% | −2 | 68–63 |
| Neenah George | 0.7 | 65% | −1 | 68–63 |
Change is in N Colorado's win chance, in points. Scores read N Colorado, then Denver. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
N Colorado 2-1WLW
- Nov 9W 123-30vs Northern New Mexico
- Nov 7L 29-91at TexasDidn't cover +34.5 · Under 132.5
- Nov 2W 102-76vs Hastings
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 84.7 and allowing 65.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
Denver 1-3LWLL
- Nov 10L 50-86vs Colorado St
- Nov 7L 51-64at Weber St
- Nov 4W 66-52vs Lindenwood
- Nov 2L 45-66at Air Force
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 53.0 and allowing 67.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| N Colorado | Denver | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 90.3 171st | 86.1 249th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 95.3 205th | 101.8 321st |
| Possessions a game | 71.4 234th | 70.4 321st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 43.9% 285th | 40.9% 354th |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.3% 289th | 48.3% 324th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 27.2% 347th | 22.8% 120th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.5% 201st | 33.9% 127th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 231st | 0.25 23rd |
The widest gap: N Colorado's offense (171st) against Denver's defense (321st), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- N Colorado 33, Denver 30
- First-half margin
- N Colorado by 3.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.2
- Projected second half
- N Colorado 36, Denver 33
- Second-half points, both teams
- 69.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- N Colorado, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 42.3 scored, 33.3 allowed
- Denver, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 28.2 scored, 34.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
N Colorado
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatum WestF | 29 | 14.9 | 11.3 | 1.6 | 0.0 |
| 15+ pts 48% · 11+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Neenah GeorgeG | 25 | 8.8 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 44% · 4+ ast 51% | |||||
| Heather BaymonG | 25 | 14.2 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 2.9 |
| 15+ pts 44% · 2+ ast 47% · 3+ threes 50% | |||||
| Mia GalbraithG | 22 | 8.0 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 2+ ast 57% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Da'Nae JeffersonG | 21 | 7.9 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Alex PirogC | 18 | 5.9 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 23% | |||||
| Lilah MooreG | 17 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 18% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
| Ericka HugginsF | 14 | 5.3 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 4+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 27% | |||||
Denver
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laia MonclovaG | 37 | 10.7 | 6.7 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 7+ reb 48% · 3+ ast 45% | |||||
| Tori BakerG | 36 | 12.2 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 4+ reb 49% · 3+ ast 43% | |||||
| Brooke MurrellF | 27 | 10.7 | 8.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 9+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Mallory McQuietorF | 26 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 3+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 29% | |||||
| Karolina PadillaG | 26 | 7.3 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 27% to play · 5+ pts 67% · 3+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Emma HartG | 24 | 6.2 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 3+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Ana CondeF | 15 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 24% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 17% | |||||
| Safiyah SugapongG | 14 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 18% · 2+ reb 33% · 1+ threes 31% | |||||
Missed the last game: Karolina Padilla (30 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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