Who will win Weber St vs Seattle U?
The model gives Weber State a 65% chance to beat Seattle U, with a projected score of Weber St 68, Seattle U 63.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Weber St | |||||
| HintzG · 26 min | 10.6 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 10+ 52% | |
| RobbinsG · 25 min | 10.5 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 10+ 52% | |
| LauroF · 26 min | 9.0 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 10+ 41% | |
| WhiteG · 30 min | 8.1 | 2.0 | 4.3 | 10+ 34% | |
 Seattle U | |||||
| JonesF · 33 min | 16.1 | 8.2 | 1.7 | 15+ 56% | |
| NealeG · 29 min | 10.3 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 10+ 50% | |
| DucheminG · 20 min | 6.5 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 5+ 61% | |
| FraserF · 28 min | 6.4 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 5+ 60% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Nicole Willardson: Weber St 63%Seattle U 37%
The white mark is the call with her: Weber St 65%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Weber St without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weber St | ||||
| Nicole Willardson | 0.6 | 63% | −2 | 68–63 |
| Seattle U | ||||
| Cristina Jones | 1.4 | 69% | +4 | 69–62 |
Change is in Weber St's win chance, in points. Scores read Weber St, then Seattle U. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Weber St 2-0WW
- Last 2
- 2–0, scoring 75.0 and allowing 48.5
Seattle U 2-2WWLL
- Nov 11L 55-57at Cal Poly
- Nov 9L 48-92at Santa Barbara
- Nov 6W 80-55vs UC Riverside
- Nov 2W 63-62at New Mexico
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 61.5 and allowing 66.5
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Weber St | Seattle U | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 86.7 236th | 82.3 290th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 95.9 216th | 102.1 325th |
| Possessions a game | 72.0 179th | 72.3 148th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 45.5% 175th | 45.2% 190th |
| Opponents' shooting | 43.9% 80th | 47.4% 292nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 24.1% 231st | 23.8% 209th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.9% 287th | 36.6% 40th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 85th | 0.19 292nd |
The widest gap: Weber St's offense (236th) against Seattle U's defense (325th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Weber St 33, Seattle U 30
- First-half margin
- Weber St by 2.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.2
- Projected second half
- Weber St 36, Seattle U 33
- Second-half points, both teams
- 69.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Weber St, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 2 · 33.5 scored, 25.5 allowed
- Seattle U, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 32.0 scored, 35.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Weber St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney WhiteG | 30 | 8.1 | 2.0 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Grace HintzG | 26 | 10.6 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Paris LauroF | 26 | 9.0 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 4+ reb 55% · 2+ threes 35% | |||||
| Nicole WillardsonF | 26 | 5.2 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 5+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 34% | |||||
| Hannah RobbinsG | 25 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Draya WackerG | 23 | 6.8 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 40% | |||||
| Dakota NapG | 22 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 2+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 44% | |||||
| Siena GuttadauroG | 21 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 2+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
Seattle U
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristina JonesF | 33 | 16.1 | 8.2 | 1.7 | 0.1 |
| 15+ pts 56% · 8+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 48% | |||||
| Sophie BuzzardG | 30 | 5.6 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Alanna NealeG | 29 | 10.3 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Claire FraserF | 28 | 6.4 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Shelley DucheminG | 20 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 4+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Gabriela Escorial FerreroF | 18 | 5.1 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 5+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 31% | |||||
| Erin SellersG | 16 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 2+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Dylan MogelG | 13 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| 2+ reb 35% · 2+ ast 34% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…