Northeastern at Butler
Thursday, November 19, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Hinkle Fieldhouse. Northeastern our rank 197 · 1-2; Butler our rank 76 · 2-1.
Who will win Northeastern vs Butler?
The model gives Butler a 93% chance to beat Northeastern, with a projected score of Butler 88, Northeastern 72.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butler | |||||
| JacksonG · 30 min | 16.2 | 3.8 | 4.9 | 15+ 56% | |
| DjulovicF · 23 min | 14.5 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 15+ 46% | |
| AndersonF · 24 min | 14.1 | 8.0 | 1.2 | 15+ 43% | |
| KlafkeG · 28 min | 14.0 | 5.6 | 4.0 | 15+ 43% | |
| Northeastern | |||||
| KingG · 34 min | 15.4 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 15+ 51% | |
| BondG · 34 min | 14.7 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 15+ 47% | |
| LoughnaneG · 36 min | 12.5 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 10+ 65% | |
| GrosberG · 34 min | 11.8 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 10+ 61% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Eduardo Klafke: Northeastern 10%Butler 90%
The white mark is the call with him: Butler 93%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Butler without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butler | ||||
| Eduardo Klafke | 2.5 | 90% | −3 | 73–87 |
| Treyson Anderson | 2.4 | 90% | −3 | 73–87 |
| Drayton Jones | 2.2 | 90% | −3 | 73–87 |
| Jalen Jackson | 2.0 | 90% | −3 | 73–87 |
| Northeastern | ||||
| Rashad King | 1.5 | 95% | +2 | 71–89 |
| Ryan Williams | 0.7 | 94% | +1 | 71–89 |
Change is in Butler's win chance, in points. Scores read Northeastern, then Butler. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Northeastern | Butler | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 104.8 166th | 111.8 76th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 111.2 267th | 101.9 82nd |
| Possessions a game | 72.1 59th | 72.6 33rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 52.0% 86th | 52.9% 43rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.1% 295th | 50.0% 146th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.0% 175th | 18.8% 270th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 28.1% 348th | 35.0% 21st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.28 104th | 0.23 323rd |
The widest gap: Butler's offense (76th) against Northeastern's defense (267th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Northeastern 33, Butler 42
- First-half margin
- Butler by 9.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 75.1
- Projected second half
- Northeastern 39, Butler 46
- Second-half points, both teams
- 85.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Northeastern, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 32.0 scored, 34.3 allowed
- Butler, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 45.7 scored, 38.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Northeastern
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike LoughnaneG | 36 | 12.5 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 54% · 4+ ast 56% | |||||
| Louis BondG | 34 | 14.7 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 47% · 4+ reb 56% · 2+ threes 34% | |||||
| Dorian GrosberG | 34 | 11.8 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 4+ reb 49% · 3+ ast 49% | |||||
| Rashad KingG | 34 | 15.4 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 15+ pts 51% · 5+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 44% | |||||
| Brayden YoungF | 22 | 6.9 | 4.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 5+ reb 49% | |||||
| Ryan WilliamsG | 15 | 5.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 2+ ast 36% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Liam KoelschC | 12 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 3+ reb 48% | |||||
Butler
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen JacksonG | 30 | 16.2 | 3.8 | 4.9 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 56% · 4+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Eduardo KlafkeG | 28 | 14.0 | 5.6 | 4.0 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 43% · 6+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Treyson AndersonF | 24 | 14.1 | 8.0 | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 15+ pts 43% · 8+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 54% | |||||
| Samis CalderonF | 24 | 3.9 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 5+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 51% | |||||
| Asim DjulovicF | 23 | 14.5 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 46% · 5+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 46% | |||||
| Drayton JonesC | 22 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 6+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 39% | |||||
| Jordan EllerbeeG | 20 | 12.7 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 15+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 53% · 2+ threes 53% | |||||
| Samu AdlerG | 18 | 7.3 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 3+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 41% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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