Who will win Campbell vs Kansas St?
The model gives Kansas State a 87% chance to beat Campbell, with a projected score of Kansas St 84, Campbell 71.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kansas St | |||||
| RechsteinerG · 31 min | 19.4 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 20+ 46% | |
| AbrahamF · 31 min | 10.7 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 10+ 53% | |
| SchuttG · 29 min | 9.9 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 10+ 48% | |
| GilhoolF · 17 min | 7.5 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 5+ 68% | |
 Campbell | |||||
| InglemonG · 33 min | 17.8 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 20+ 37% | |
| WaddlesG · 34 min | 15.2 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 15+ 50% | |
| KapicF · 27 min | 9.9 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 10+ 47% | |
| Wright Jr.G · 34 min | 8.0 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 10+ 34% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Brandon Rechsteiner: Campbell 18%Kansas St 82%
The white mark is the call with him: Kansas St 87%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Kansas St without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas St | ||||
| Brandon Rechsteiner | 2.2 | 82% | −5 | 72–82 |
| Jaden Schutt | 1.4 | 84% | −3 | 72–83 |
| Isaiah Abraham | 1.1 | 85% | −2 | 72–83 |
| Timo Malovec | 1.0 | 85% | −2 | 71–83 |
| Campbell | ||||
| Nordin Kapic | 0.7 | 88% | +1 | 71–84 |
| Lance Waddles | 0.6 | 88% | +1 | 71–84 |
Change is in Kansas St's win chance, in points. Scores read Campbell, then Kansas St. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Campbell 0-3LLL
- Nov 11L 53-68at ETSUDidn't cover +4.5 · Under 145.5
- Nov 8L 71-87at W MichiganDidn't cover +4.5 · Over 151.5
- Nov 2L 64-83at NC State
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 62.7 and allowing 79.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Kansas St 2-1LWW
- Nov 10W 89-82vs CreightonCovered +3.5 · Over 159.5
- Nov 6W 95-78vs CSU NorthridgeCovered −10.5 · Over 165.5
- Nov 3L 66-68vs S Dakota St
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 83.3 and allowing 76.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Campbell | Kansas St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 103.7 189th | 107.0 125th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 110.7 249th | 102.5 91st |
| Possessions a game | 70.5 215th | 73.5 7th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.0% 224th | 53.5% 22nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.2% 298th | 51.9% 277th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 15.6% 6th | 20.6% 355th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.9% 236th | 29.0% 325th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 329th | 0.26 199th |
The widest gap: Kansas St's offense (125th) against Campbell's defense (249th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Campbell 33, Kansas St 40
- First-half margin
- Kansas St by 6.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 72.5
- Projected second half
- Campbell 38, Kansas St 44
- Second-half points, both teams
- 82.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Campbell, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 26.3 scored, 35.7 allowed
- Kansas St, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 41.7 scored, 34.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Campbell
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance WaddlesG | 34 | 15.2 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| 15+ pts 50% · 6+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| AJ Wright Jr.G | 34 | 8.0 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 4+ ast 51% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Rashawn InglemonG | 33 | 17.8 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| 20+ pts 37% · 3+ ast 51% · 3+ threes 49% | |||||
| Nordin KapicF | 27 | 9.9 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 5+ reb 53% · 2+ threes 35% | |||||
| Sentinel MooreF | 22 | 5.7 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 4+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 23% | |||||
| Caleb McAbeeG | 18 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 2+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Emilis ButkusG | 14 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 75% to play · 5+ pts 27% · 2+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Luka SavanovicG | 11 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 17% · 2+ reb 38% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
Kansas St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon RechsteinerG | 31 | 19.4 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
| 20+ pts 46% · 4+ reb 48% · 4+ ast 47% | |||||
| Isaiah AbrahamF | 31 | 10.7 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 5+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Jaden SchuttG | 29 | 9.9 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 3+ reb 44% · 2+ threes 61% | |||||
| Brock ViceF | 18 | 6.3 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 4+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Montana WheelerG | 17 | 6.8 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 2+ ast 61% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Matt GilhoolF | 17 | 7.5 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 4+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Dez LindsayF | 16 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Timo MalovecF | 15 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| 79% to play · 5+ pts 40% · 2+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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