New Hampshire at New Haven
Saturday, November 21, 2026, 12:00 AM ET at Jeffery P. Hazell Athletics Center. New Hampshire our rank 314 · 3-1; New Haven our rank 316 · 1-2.
Who will win New Hampshire vs New Haven?
The model gives New Haven a 61% chance to beat New Hampshire, with a projected score of New Haven 67, New Hampshire 64.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.8% of the time in 15,721 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Haven | |||||
| SteeleF · 34 min | 11.6 | 6.9 | 1.8 | 10+ 59% | |
| TraoreF · 27 min | 8.2 | 4.9 | 0.6 | 10+ 35% | |
| Young Jr.G · 26 min | 7.8 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 10+ 32% | |
| WalkerG · 21 min | 6.5 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 5+ 60% | |
| New Hampshire | |||||
| BikeG · 29 min | 10.5 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 10+ 52% | |
| ZanF · 28 min | 8.9 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 10+ 40% | |
| BlackleyG · 24 min | 8.3 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 10+ 36% | |
| ColemanG · 24 min | 7.0 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 5+ 65% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Adam Squire: New Hampshire 37%New Haven 63%
The white mark is the call with him: New Haven 61%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | New Haven without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Hampshire | ||||
| Adam Squire | 0.6 | 63% | +2 | 64–68 |
Change is in New Haven's win chance, in points. Scores read New Hampshire, then New Haven. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
New Hampshire 3-1WWLW
- Nov 11W 114-55vs Thomas College
- Nov 8L 76-81vs Sacred HeartDidn't cover −1.5 · Over 145.5
- Nov 5W 66-55at RiderCovered −1.5 · Under 141.5
- Nov 2W 59-55at Brown
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 78.8 and allowing 61.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| New Hampshire | New Haven | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 93.4 351st | 94.8 339th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 108.5 183rd | 110.2 232nd |
| Possessions a game | 70.4 222nd | 68.2 360th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.6% 307th | 50.4% 186th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.4% 7th | 47.7% 25th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.8% 149th | 18.9% 282nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 27.2% 357th | 28.5% 336th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.29 70th | 0.23 311th |
The widest gap: New Hampshire's defense (183rd) against New Haven's offense (339th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- New Hampshire 30, New Haven 32
- First-half margin
- New Haven by 1.7
- First-half points, both teams
- 61.7
- Projected second half
- New Hampshire 34, New Haven 36
- Second-half points, both teams
- 69.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- New Hampshire, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 33.0 scored, 28.0 allowed
- New Haven, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 21.3 scored, 32.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
New Hampshire
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler BikeG | 29 | 10.5 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 1.9 |
| 47% to play · 10+ pts 52% · 3+ ast 52% · 2+ threes 52% | |||||
| Ryan ZanF | 28 | 8.9 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 5+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
| John SquireF | 24 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 5+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 24% | |||||
| Myles BlackleyG | 24 | 8.3 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
| Josiah ColemanG | 24 | 7.0 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 2+ ast 50% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Erik Oliver-BushG | 21 | 6.3 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Drew McKennaF | 19 | 5.8 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 4+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Adam SquireG | 18 | 6.6 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 2+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
Missed the last game: Tyler Bike (33 min a game).
New Haven
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teshaun SteeleF | 34 | 11.6 | 6.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 59% · 7+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Zoumana TraoreF | 27 | 8.2 | 4.9 | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 5+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 64% | |||||
| Tristan BurthC | 26 | 4.2 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 5+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 24% | |||||
| Danny Young Jr.G | 26 | 7.8 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Tim WalkerG | 21 | 6.5 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 53% | |||||
| Faquir MosleyG | 20 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 2+ ast 46% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Aidan LosiewiczG | 16 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 2+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Brad BallingerF | 12 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 2+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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