Elon at Wake Forest
Women's · Sunday, November 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET at LJVM Coliseum. Elon our rank 191 · 1-2; Wake Forest our rank 112 · 4-0.
Who will win Elon vs Wake Forest?
The model gives Wake Forest a 84% chance to beat Elon, with a projected score of Wake Forest 70, Elon 57.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest | |||||
| CarterG · 30 min | 12.1 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 10+ 63% | |
| SorbyeG · 29 min | 10.5 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 10+ 52% | |
| NwudeG · 16 min | 8.1 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 10+ 34% | |
| HollandG · 19 min | 7.5 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 5+ 69% | |
| Elon | |||||
| CorbettF · 27 min | 16.2 | 5.4 | 0.5 | 15+ 56% | |
| WatkinsC · 28 min | 10.8 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 10+ 54% | |
| FoxG · 32 min | 10.3 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 10+ 51% | |
| WalkerG · 32 min | 8.4 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 10+ 36% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Mary Carter: Elon 21%Wake Forest 79%
The white mark is the call with her: Wake Forest 84%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Wake Forest without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest | ||||
| Mary Carter | 2.2 | 79% | −5 | 59–69 |
| Breauna Ware | 1.6 | 81% | −3 | 58–69 |
| Aurora Sorbye | 1.3 | 81% | −3 | 58–69 |
| Opal Bird | 1.1 | 82% | −2 | 58–69 |
| Elon | ||||
| LaNae' Corbett | 1.6 | 87% | +3 | 57–71 |
| Tamia Watkins | 1.4 | 86% | +2 | 57–71 |
Change is in Wake Forest's win chance, in points. Scores read Elon, then Wake Forest. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Elon 1-2WLL
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 71.0 and allowing 63.7
Wake Forest 4-0WWWW
- Nov 12W 65-48vs UNC Wilmington
- Nov 8W 77-51vs Mercer
- Nov 5W 85-53vs Presbyterian
- Nov 2W 65-58vs SC Upstate
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 73.0 and allowing 52.5
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Elon | Wake Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 86.2 247th | 93.6 133rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 92.0 134th | 89.4 98th |
| Possessions a game | 72.4 144th | 72.1 164th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.8% 220th | 47.2% 85th |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.7% 188th | 43.3% 55th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.7% 308th | 23.5% 185th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.4% 302nd | 29.2% 341st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 89th | 0.22 115th |
The widest gap: Wake Forest's defense (98th) against Elon's offense (247th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Elon 27, Wake Forest 34
- First-half margin
- Wake Forest by 7.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 60.4
- Projected second half
- Elon 31, Wake Forest 36
- Second-half points, both teams
- 66.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Elon, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 38.3 scored, 29.7 allowed
- Wake Forest, first halves so far
- Led 4 of 4 · 40.8 scored, 28.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Elon
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashanti FoxG | 32 | 10.3 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 42% · 3+ ast 47% | |||||
| Tyana WalkerG | 32 | 8.4 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 48% | |||||
| Tamia WatkinsC | 28 | 10.8 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 6+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 37% | |||||
| LaNae' CorbettF | 27 | 16.2 | 5.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 15+ pts 56% · 6+ reb 43% | |||||
| Kamryn DotyG | 26 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 2+ ast 44% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Kierra MorrowG | 22 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 16% · 4+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 36% | |||||
| Sidney SmithG | 15 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 18% · 2+ reb 37% · 1+ threes 35% | |||||
| Macayla AskewF | 14 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
Wake Forest
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary CarterG | 30 | 12.1 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 5+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 41% | |||||
| Aurora SorbyeG | 29 | 10.5 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 2+ reb 60% · 3+ ast 47% | |||||
| Opal BirdF | 25 | 4.8 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 4+ reb 46% · 3+ ast 43% | |||||
| Breauna WareG | 24 | 6.7 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 2+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 59% | |||||
| Oshauna HollandG | 19 | 7.5 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 3+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 24% | |||||
| Grace GalbavyG | 17 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
| Helena DanielewiczF | 16 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 25% | |||||
| Adora NwudeG | 16 | 8.1 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 2+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 40% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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