Akron at West Virginia
Women's · Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 10:30 AM ET at Hope Coliseum. Akron our rank 230 · 0-3; West Virginia AP 24, our rank 30 · 3-0.
Who will win Akron vs West Virginia?
The model gives West Virginia a >99% chance to beat Akron, with a projected score of West Virginia 86, Akron 51.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Virginia | |||||
| ForbesF · 29 min | 17.8 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 20+ 37% | |
| CookeG · 29 min | 16.7 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 15+ 59% | |
| WaltonG · 26 min | 13.2 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 15+ 38% | |
| HarrisG · 21 min | 8.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 10+ 39% | |
| Akron | |||||
| BrewG · 27 min | 8.4 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 10+ 36% | |
| FeganF · 28 min | 8.1 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 10+ 34% | |
| ThorntonG · 18 min | 5.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 5+ 49% | |
| MitchellG · 13 min | 4.7 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 5+ 43% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Gia Cooke: Akron 1%West Virginia 99%
The white mark is the call with her: West Virginia >99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | West Virginia without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Virginia | ||||
| Gia Cooke | 5.2 | 99% | −1 | 53–83 |
| Zahirah Walton | 4.8 | 99% | −1 | 53–83 |
| Skylar Forbes | 4.7 | 99% | −1 | 53–83 |
| Khyala Ngodu | 3.2 | 99% | −1 | 52–84 |
| Akron | ||||
| Jessie Joaquim | 1.2 | >99% | 0 | 50–86 |
| Macey Fegan | 1.0 | >99% | 0 | 50–86 |
Change is in West Virginia's win chance, in points. Scores read Akron, then West Virginia. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Akron 0-3LLL
- Nov 9L 54-70at Xavier
- Nov 5L 60-66at George Mason
- Nov 2L 74-75vs South Alabama
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 62.7 and allowing 70.3
West Virginia 3-0WWW
- Nov 8W 81-63at Georgia Tech
- Nov 5W 78-66vs G WashingtonDidn't cover −20.5 · Over 130.5
- Nov 3W 68-64vs Rhode Island
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 75.7 and allowing 64.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Akron | West Virginia | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 86.2 248th | 105.4 39th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 97.1 239th | 80.6 23rd |
| Possessions a game | 73.7 57th | 72.5 135th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 43.0% 313th | 47.0% 94th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.2% 224th | 47.3% 287th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.3% 168th | 23.7% 199th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.8% 175th | 36.5% 43rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 65th | 0.22 133rd |
The widest gap: West Virginia's defense (23rd) against Akron's offense (248th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Akron 22, West Virginia 42
- First-half margin
- West Virginia by 20.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.6
- Projected second half
- Akron 28, West Virginia 43
- Second-half points, both teams
- 71.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Akron, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 29.3 scored, 36.0 allowed
- West Virginia, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 39.7 scored, 30.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Akron
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macey FeganF | 28 | 8.1 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 6+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 29% | |||||
| Shaena BrewG | 27 | 8.4 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 3+ reb 53% · 3+ ast 49% | |||||
| Tyla HeardG | 24 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 3+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Jessie JoaquimF | 22 | 4.1 | 6.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 6+ reb 53% | |||||
| Teniesha ClarkeG | 19 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 24% · 2+ reb 33% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Kaylah ThorntonG | 18 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 2+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Kailee BransfordG | 17 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
| Monique MitchellG | 13 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| 52% to play · 5+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 39% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
Missed the last game: Monique Mitchell (16 min a game).
West Virginia
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gia CookeG | 29 | 16.7 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| 15+ pts 59% · 3+ ast 44% · 2+ threes 44% | |||||
| Skylar ForbesF | 29 | 17.8 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| 20+ pts 37% · 6+ reb 44% · 3+ threes 40% | |||||
| Zahirah WaltonG | 26 | 13.2 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 0.2 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 5+ reb 52% · 3+ ast 54% | |||||
| Khyala NgoduC | 22 | 8.7 | 7.4 | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 8+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 55% | |||||
| Kennedy HarrisG | 21 | 8.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 2+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Marya HudginsG | 17 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 32% · 4+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Divine TumbaF | 16 | 8.4 | 5.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 5+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 19% | |||||
| Nylah WilsonG | 14 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 35% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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