Evansville at IU Indy
Women's · Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 6:30 PM ET at James T. Morris Arena. Evansville our rank 319 · 0-3; IU Indy our rank 221 · 1-2.
Who will win Evansville vs IU Indy?
The model gives IU Indianapolis a 83% chance to beat Evansville, with a projected score of IU Indy 75, Evansville 63.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IU Indy | |||||
| SmithG · 29 min | 16.3 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 15+ 57% | |
| CraigG · 27 min | 11.1 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 10+ 56% | |
| SmithG · 26 min | 10.9 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 10+ 55% | |
| SiplaG · 29 min | 7.7 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 10+ 31% | |
| Evansville | |||||
| ScottG · 32 min | 13.0 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 15+ 36% | |
| KelleyPG · 35 min | 10.3 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 10+ 51% | |
| MustarosF · 27 min | 9.2 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 10+ 42% | |
| JohnsonG · 23 min | 7.8 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 10+ 32% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Evansville 0-3LLL
- Nov 11L 30-98at KentuckyDidn't cover +50.5 · Under 137.5
- Nov 7L 49-62at Lindenwood
- Nov 3L 65-90at DePaul
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 48.0 and allowing 83.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Evansville | IU Indy | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 83.6 276th | 88.9 197th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 102.9 337th | 98.5 262nd |
| Possessions a game | 71.8 200th | 73.6 65th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.0% 140th | 44.1% 271st |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.7% 336th | 47.0% 270th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.3% 295th | 24.1% 231st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.9% 319th | 34.3% 110th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 196th | 0.28 2nd |
The widest gap: IU Indy's offense (197th) against Evansville's defense (337th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Evansville 29, IU Indy 36
- First-half margin
- IU Indy by 6.7
- First-half points, both teams
- 65.5
- Projected second half
- Evansville 34, IU Indy 39
- Second-half points, both teams
- 72.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Evansville, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 23.0 scored, 36.7 allowed
- IU Indy, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 39.3 scored, 32.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Evansville
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery KelleyPG | 35 | 10.3 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 6+ reb 44% · 4+ ast 41% | |||||
| Marina ArteroF | 34 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 6+ reb 52% · 3+ ast 55% | |||||
| Kaiden KreinhagenG | 32 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Jayden ScottG | 32 | 13.0 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| 15+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 44% | |||||
| Mireia MustarosF | 27 | 9.2 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 5+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Kelyn JohnsonG | 23 | 7.8 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 48% to play · 10+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Maria SerranoF | 14 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 3+ reb 48% | |||||
| Sophia OttenF | 11 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 55% to play · 5+ pts 17% · 2+ reb 54% | |||||
Missed the last game: Kelyn Johnson (26 min a game).
IU Indy
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reagan SiplaG | 29 | 7.7 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 5+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Olivia SmithG | 29 | 16.3 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 57% · 6+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 48% | |||||
| Destini CraigG | 27 | 11.1 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 5+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Hailey SmithG | 26 | 10.9 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| 45% to play · 10+ pts 55% · 5+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Julia HallG | 26 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 5+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| E'Zaria AdamsG | 23 | 6.0 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 2+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 36% | |||||
| Olivia FlynnG | 20 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Hailee BrennenF | 15 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
Missed the last game: Hailey Smith (30 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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