Evansville at E Illinois
Women's · Saturday, November 14, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at Groniger Arena. Evansville our rank 319 · 0-3; E Illinois our rank 296 · 0-4.
Who will win Evansville vs E Illinois?
The model gives Eastern Illinois a 72% chance to beat Evansville, with a projected score of E Illinois 68, Evansville 61.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E Illinois | |||||
| StollerG · 32 min | 12.7 | 5.3 | 3.3 | 15+ 35% | |
| BohanonG · 28 min | 10.1 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 10+ 49% | |
| DickmanF · 33 min | 9.9 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 10+ 48% | |
| GladG · 32 min | 8.2 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 10+ 35% | |
| Evansville | |||||
| ScottG · 32 min | 12.9 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 15+ 36% | |
| KelleyPG · 36 min | 10.3 | 5.5 | 3.3 | 10+ 51% | |
| MustarosF · 28 min | 9.1 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 10+ 42% | |
| JohnsonG · 23 min | 7.8 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 10+ 32% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Evansville 0-3LLL
- Nov 11L 30-98at KentuckyDidn't cover +50.5 · Under 137.5
- Nov 7L 49-62at Lindenwood
- Nov 3L 65-90at DePaul
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 48.0 and allowing 83.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
E Illinois 0-4LLLL
- Nov 11L 58-64at Saint Louis
- Nov 8L 61-77at Iowa State
- Nov 5L 39-80at Iowa
- Nov 3L 54-76at Drake
- Last 4
- 0–4, scoring 53.0 and allowing 74.2
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Evansville | E Illinois | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 83.6 276th | 82.0 296th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 102.9 337th | 98.6 264th |
| Possessions a game | 71.8 200th | 71.0 285th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.0% 140th | 45.9% 144th |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.7% 336th | 44.0% 88th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.3% 295th | 25.7% 315th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.9% 319th | 30.0% 314th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 196th | 0.22 120th |
The widest gap: E Illinois's offense (296th) against Evansville's defense (337th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Evansville 28, E Illinois 33
- First-half margin
- E Illinois by 4.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 60.9
- Projected second half
- Evansville 32, E Illinois 35
- Second-half points, both teams
- 67.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Evansville, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 23.0 scored, 36.7 allowed
- E Illinois, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 4 · 24.2 scored, 37.2 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Evansville
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery KelleyPG | 36 | 10.3 | 5.5 | 3.3 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 6+ reb 45% · 4+ ast 42% | |||||
| Marina ArteroF | 35 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 6+ reb 52% · 3+ ast 55% | |||||
| Kaiden KreinhagenG | 33 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Jayden ScottG | 32 | 12.9 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| 15+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 44% | |||||
| Mireia MustarosF | 28 | 9.1 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Kelyn JohnsonG | 23 | 7.8 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 48% to play · 10+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Maria SerranoF | 14 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 26% · 3+ reb 46% | |||||
| Sophia OttenF | 10 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 55% to play · 5+ pts 16% · 2+ reb 52% | |||||
Missed the last game: Kelyn Johnson (26 min a game).
E Illinois
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevaeh DickmanF | 33 | 9.9 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 5+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 58% | |||||
| Clara GladG | 32 | 8.2 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
| Ava StollerG | 32 | 12.7 | 5.3 | 3.3 | 1.1 |
| 15+ pts 35% · 5+ reb 57% · 4+ ast 42% | |||||
| Janyah BohanonG | 28 | 10.1 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 5+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 32% | |||||
| Abbie BoutilierC | 25 | 8.0 | 6.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 7+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 31% | |||||
| Nyah HardyG | 16 | 7.2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 2+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Meioshe MasonC | 14 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 39% | |||||
| Alahnna SimpsonG | 11 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 18% · 2+ reb 36% · 1+ threes 16% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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