Lafayette at Saint Peter's
Women's · Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET at Yanitelli Center. Lafayette our rank 235 · 1-2; Saint Peter's our rank 351 · 0-3.
Who will win Lafayette vs Saint Peter's?
The model gives Lafayette a 78% chance to beat Saint Peter's, with a projected score of Lafayette 68, Saint Peter's 58.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lafayette | |||||
| AdamskiG · 34 min | 12.3 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 10+ 64% | |
| PickeringG · 34 min | 10.6 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 10+ 52% | |
| HallF · 21 min | 10.2 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 10+ 50% | |
| ChudyF · 29 min | 8.2 | 7.1 | 3.6 | 10+ 35% | |
| Saint Peter's | |||||
| RoyC · 23 min | 9.6 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 10+ 45% | |
| EstridgeF · 22 min | 7.7 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 10+ 31% | |
| PlataG · 25 min | 6.7 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 5+ 63% | |
| MillsG · 20 min | 6.0 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 5+ 56% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Lafayette 1-2LWL
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 61.7 and allowing 64.3
Saint Peter's 0-3LLL
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 45.0 and allowing 85.3
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Lafayette | Saint Peter's | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 87.3 230th | 78.3 330th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 98.6 268th | 106.5 357th |
| Possessions a game | 70.4 321st | 69.7 347th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 45.0% 207th | 44.6% 239th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.6% 247th | 47.7% 302nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.4% 301st | 23.2% 160th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.8% 239th | 29.3% 338th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 13th | 0.19 327th |
The widest gap: Lafayette's offense (230th) against Saint Peter's's defense (357th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Lafayette 33, Saint Peter's 27
- First-half margin
- Lafayette by 5.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 59.8
- Projected second half
- Lafayette 35, Saint Peter's 31
- Second-half points, both teams
- 66.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Lafayette, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 31.7 scored, 28.3 allowed
- Saint Peter's, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 21.7 scored, 46.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Lafayette
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haylie AdamskiG | 34 | 12.3 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 2.7 |
| 10+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 41% · 3+ threes 45% | |||||
| Neyia PickeringG | 34 | 10.6 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 49% · 3+ ast 55% | |||||
| Haley PoserG | 30 | 6.9 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 3+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Tasha ChudyF | 29 | 8.2 | 7.1 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 7+ reb 53% · 4+ ast 46% | |||||
| Johari HallF | 21 | 10.2 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 6+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 29% | |||||
| Emma HeaneyG | 20 | 7.4 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 5+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
| Carley VoceG | 17 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 2+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Maddison KrugF | 12 | 2.0 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 15% · 4+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 21% | |||||
Saint Peter's
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sierra PatricioG | 29 | 5.2 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 51% | |||||
| Ineivi PlataG | 25 | 6.7 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Carys RoyC | 23 | 9.6 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 5+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 28% | |||||
| Lamaria EstridgeF | 22 | 7.7 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 4+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Jada MillsG | 20 | 6.0 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 40% · 2+ ast 37% | |||||
| Ebere EgbirikaG | 20 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 33% | |||||
| Eszter TuriG | 16 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 3+ reb 55% | |||||
| Nikola ZdenkovaG | 14 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 21% · 2+ ast 16% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
Missed the last game: Aniyah Neal (16 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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