SC Upstate at Clemson
Women's · Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET at Littlejohn Coliseum. SC Upstate our rank 298 · 3-1; Clemson our rank 52 · 3-1.
Who will win SC Upstate vs Clemson?
The model gives Clemson a 99% chance to beat South Carolina Upstate, with a projected score of Clemson 75, SC Upstate 43.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clemson | |||||
| MooreG · 29 min | 11.7 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 10+ 60% | |
| NelsonG · 27 min | 10.4 | 2.9 | 4.6 | 10+ 51% | |
| ClarkeF · 24 min | 9.3 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 10+ 43% | |
| HendersonG · 24 min | 8.1 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 10+ 34% | |
| SC Upstate | |||||
| BoothG · 27 min | 8.4 | 6.4 | 1.1 | 10+ 37% | |
| KierschtG · 20 min | 6.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 5+ 62% | |
| HudsonG · 20 min | 6.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 5+ 61% | |
| BlairF · 21 min | 5.3 | 4.8 | 0.2 | 5+ 49% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Mia Moore: SC Upstate 1%Clemson 99%
The white mark is the call with her: Clemson 99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Clemson without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clemson | ||||
| Mia Moore | 4.0 | 99% | 0 | 45–73 |
| Taliyah Henderson | 3.2 | 99% | 0 | 45–73 |
| Mackenzie Nelson | 2.9 | 99% | 0 | 45–73 |
| Rusne Augustinaite | 2.4 | 99% | 0 | 44–74 |
| SC Upstate | ||||
| Grace Booth | 0.7 | 99% | 0 | 43–75 |
Change is in Clemson's win chance, in points. Scores read SC Upstate, then Clemson. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
SC Upstate 3-1LWWW
- Nov 10W 54-50at SC State
- Nov 7W 68-33vs Southern Wesleyan
- Nov 4W 82-51vs Johnson
- Nov 2L 58-65at Wake Forest
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 65.5 and allowing 49.8
Clemson 3-1WWWL
- Nov 12L 44-65vs South CarolinaCovered +26.5 · Under 133.5
- Nov 8W 72-44vs UNC Greensboro
- Nov 5W 76-57vs ETSU
- Nov 2W 68-47vs Radford
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 65.0 and allowing 53.2
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| SC Upstate | Clemson | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 78.4 329th | 101.1 67th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 95.1 198th | 83.4 49th |
| Possessions a game | 70.8 296th | 69.6 350th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 45.1% 199th | 45.7% 158th |
| Opponents' shooting | 42.4% 24th | 44.7% 134th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.2% 289th | 23.1% 143rd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 35.6% 55th | 31.1% 273rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 219th | 0.20 227th |
The widest gap: Clemson's defense (49th) against SC Upstate's offense (329th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- SC Upstate 19, Clemson 37
- First-half margin
- Clemson by 18.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 55.9
- Projected second half
- SC Upstate 24, Clemson 38
- Second-half points, both teams
- 62.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- SC Upstate, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 32.8 scored, 28.2 allowed
- Clemson, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 29.0 scored, 26.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
SC Upstate
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace BoothG | 27 | 8.4 | 6.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 7+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
| Lexi CastatorG | 22 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Kinley PatersonG | 22 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 21% · 3+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Emma BlairF | 21 | 5.3 | 4.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 5+ reb 49% | |||||
| Vera SoderblomF | 20 | 4.4 | 5.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 6+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
| Aubrie KierschtG | 20 | 6.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 29% to play · 5+ pts 62% · 2+ reb 35% · 2+ threes 39% | |||||
| Keira HudsonG | 20 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 2+ reb 35% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Haylie LamondeG | 19 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
Missed the last game: Aubrie Kierscht (23 min a game).
Clemson
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia MooreG | 29 | 11.7 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 60% · 4+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Mackenzie NelsonG | 27 | 10.4 | 2.9 | 4.6 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 51% · 5+ ast 47% | |||||
| Edie ClarkeF | 24 | 9.3 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 7+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 54% | |||||
| Taliyah HendersonG | 24 | 8.1 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 4+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Rusne AugustinaiteG | 24 | 6.8 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 3+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 45% | |||||
| Holland HarrisG | 14 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Jenna LawrenceF | 14 | 7.4 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 65% | |||||
| Julia ScottF | 13 | 4.9 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 4+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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