Probable Stats
Menu

Presbyterian at Wofford

Women's · Saturday, November 21, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at Jerry Richardson Indoor Stadium. Presbyterian our rank 353 · 0-3; Wofford our rank 200 · 3-1.

Who will win Presbyterian vs Wofford?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Wofford a 94% chance to beat Presbyterian, with a projected score of Wofford 73, Presbyterian 53.

To winWofford 94%Presbyterian 6%
Projected score53–73Presbyterian, then Wofford
Margin19.8Wofford · no line posted
Total126.5no line posted
First half24–36Wofford ahead 86%
Presbyterian by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30by 40Wofford by 50Model: Wofford by 19.8Presbyterian by 10by 10by 30Wofford by 50Model: Wofford by 19.8

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Wofford
HeissG · 31 min12.24.31.810+ 63%
MundyG · 22 min11.43.52.510+ 58%
WhiteheadG · 28 min10.44.31.710+ 52%
MasingaleG · 32 min8.43.72.410+ 36%
Presbyterian
FloydG · 22 min10.93.50.810+ 55%
LingerG · 27 min8.73.21.010+ 39%
ReevesG · 24 min6.72.41.45+ 63%
HaddockG · 27 min6.24.70.75+ 58%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Sayler Lowe: Presbyterian 6%Wofford 94%

The white mark is the call with her: Wofford 94%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsWofford without herChangeProjected score
Wofford
Sayler Lowe0.794%054–73

Change is in Wofford's win chance, in points. Scores read Presbyterian, then Wofford. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Presbyterian 0-3LLL

    1. Nov 10L 54-87at Marquette
    2. Nov 5L 53-85at Wake Forest
    3. Nov 2L 50-58at UNC Greensboro
    Last 3
    0–3, scoring 52.3 and allowing 76.7

    Wofford 3-1LWWW

    1. Nov 10W 64-42vs North Greenville
    2. Nov 8W 64-60at Georgia St
    3. Nov 5W 78-60vs King (TN)
    4. Nov 2L 50-80at NC State
    Last 4
    3–1, scoring 64.0 and allowing 60.5

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    PresbyterianWofford
    Points scored per 100 possessions76.8 345th86.9 233rd
    Points allowed per 100106.1 354th94.1 174th
    Possessions a game72.1 164th70.8 296th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)44.8% 224th43.8% 289th
    Opponents' shooting46.8% 259th45.9% 204th
    Turnovers, share of possessions24.1% 229th22.3% 82nd
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses32.7% 185th33.8% 130th
    Free throws per shot0.19 285th0.21 217th

    The widest gap: Wofford's defense (174th) against Presbyterian's offense (345th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Presbyterian 24, Wofford 36
    First-half margin
    Wofford by 11.4
    First-half points, both teams
    60.0
    Projected second half
    Presbyterian 29, Wofford 37
    Second-half points, both teams
    66.5
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Presbyterian, first halves so far
    Led 0 of 3 · 24.0 scored, 40.0 allowed
    Wofford, first halves so far
    Led 3 of 4 · 33.8 scored, 30.8 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Presbyterian

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Aretha LingerG278.73.21.00.4
    10+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 30%
    Alyssa FebresG274.42.23.00.8
    5+ pts 40% · 3+ ast 56% · 1+ threes 52%
    Krystal HaddockG276.24.70.70.0
    5+ pts 58% · 5+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 16%
    Azjah ReevesG246.72.41.40.8
    5+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 53%
    Yolanda FloydG2210.93.50.81.0
    10+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 59%
    Yasmeen BrightwellG214.93.01.40.4
    5+ pts 45% · 3+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 39%
    Saoirse SmartF173.32.60.50.1
    5+ pts 28% · 3+ reb 45%
    Dylande InnocentF153.12.90.60.1
    5+ pts 26% · 3+ reb 51%

    Wofford

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Molly MasingaleG328.43.72.41.4
    10+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 42%
    Maddie HeissG3112.24.31.81.9
    10+ pts 63% · 2+ ast 50% · 2+ threes 50%
    Mearah WhiteheadG2810.44.31.70.9
    10+ pts 52% · 2+ ast 49% · 1+ threes 56%
    Gabby MundyG2211.43.52.51.3
    50% to play · 10+ pts 58% · 4+ reb 44% · 3+ ast 44%
    Courtney SwiderF224.55.90.90.4
    5+ pts 41% · 6+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 35%
    Angelina PelayoF207.95.11.20.1
    10+ pts 33% · 5+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 32%
    Elli PorterG184.31.40.81.0
    52% to play · 5+ pts 39% · 2+ reb 37% · 1+ threes 58%
    Sienna WolfeG144.01.80.70.7
    5+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 46%

    Missed the last game: Elli Porter (19 min a game) and Gabby Mundy (23 min a game).

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    More games on Sat, Nov 21

    All games
    1. 12 PMprojected 67-63James Madison at George Mason, women's: game page
    2. 1 PMprojected 62-63N Dakota St at UTSA, women's: game page
    3. 3 PMprojected 72-69Fairfield at Oregon St, women's: game page
    4. 5 PMprojected 68-71Alabama vs North Carolina, women's: game page
    5. 5 PMprojected 66-70Cincinnati at UNLV, women's: game page
    6. 7 PMprojected 74-63Duke at Columbia, women's: game page