Florida A&M at UTSA
Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at UTSA Convocation Center. Florida A&M our rank 363 · 0-4; UTSA our rank 243 · 2-1.
Who will win Florida A&M vs UTSA?
The model gives UTSA a 92% chance to beat Florida A&M, with a projected score of UTSA 84, Florida A&M 69.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA | |||||
| TennerG · 29 min | 13.9 | 2.9 | 4.3 | 15+ 42% | |
| LeGreeG · 20 min | 11.5 | 2.5 | 3.7 | 10+ 58% | |
| TurnerG · 22 min | 9.6 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 10+ 46% | |
| ColemanG · 19 min | 9.1 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 10+ 41% | |
| Florida A&M | |||||
| KempsonG · 27 min | 14.6 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 15+ 47% | |
| WillifordF · 30 min | 10.8 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 10+ 54% | |
| JosephG · 29 min | 9.5 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 10+ 44% | |
| Baker Jr.G · 29 min | 8.9 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 10+ 40% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Isaiah Coleman: Florida A&M 9%UTSA 91%
The white mark is the call with him: UTSA 92%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | UTSA without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA | ||||
| Isaiah Coleman | 0.7 | 91% | −1 | 69–84 |
Change is in UTSA's win chance, in points. Scores read Florida A&M, then UTSA. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Florida A&M 0-4LLLL
- Nov 11L 65-87vs Kansas CityDidn't cover +8.5 · Over 144.5
- Nov 9L 64-92at UABDidn't cover +18.5 · Over 154.5
- Nov 5L 70-75vs Fort Valley State
- Nov 2L 69-112vs Florida St
- Last 4
- 0–4, scoring 67.0 and allowing 91.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Florida A&M | UTSA | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 92.8 355th | 102.1 219th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 117.8 361st | 111.6 280th |
| Possessions a game | 71.6 95th | 71.5 103rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.9% 293rd | 51.2% 131st |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.8% 326th | 50.1% 152nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.2% 302nd | 16.8% 51st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.5% 306th | 30.5% 262nd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 358th | 0.23 321st |
The widest gap: UTSA's offense (219th) against Florida A&M's defense (361st), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Florida A&M 32, UTSA 40
- First-half margin
- UTSA by 8.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 71.7
- Projected second half
- Florida A&M 37, UTSA 44
- Second-half points, both teams
- 81.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Florida A&M, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 27.2 scored, 45.0 allowed
- UTSA, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 33.0 scored, 34.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Florida A&M
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisean WillifordF | 30 | 10.8 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 1.6 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 4+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 45% | |||||
| Antonio Baker Jr.G | 29 | 8.9 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 0.5 |
| 26% to play · 10+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 58% | |||||
| Jayden JosephG | 29 | 9.5 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 53% · 3+ ast 41% | |||||
| Jaden KempsonG | 27 | 14.6 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| 15+ pts 47% · 4+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 54% | |||||
| Ralph Martino Jr.G | 21 | 5.9 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 3+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 35% | |||||
| Chandler DavisG | 20 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Ben NdourF | 15 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 26% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 20% | |||||
| Ashton WilliamsG | 14 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
Missed the last game: Antonio Baker Jr. (34 min a game).
UTSA
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KJ TennerG | 29 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 4.3 | 1.1 |
| 15+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 52% · 5+ ast 42% | |||||
| Isaiah WattsG | 22 | 8.8 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 42% | |||||
| Preston TurnerG | 22 | 9.6 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 47% · 3+ threes 41% | |||||
| JJ KellyG | 21 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 4+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Josiah LeGreeG | 20 | 11.5 | 2.5 | 3.7 | 1.8 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 4+ ast 50% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Isaiah ColemanG | 19 | 9.1 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 4+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Shey EberweinG | 16 | 8.1 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 2+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Mike Broxton Jr.F | 16 | 5.2 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 3+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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