Milwaukee at Loyola Chicago
Women's · Saturday, November 14, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at Gentile Arena. Milwaukee our rank 254 · 1-3; Loyola Chicago our rank 244 · 2-1.
Who will win Milwaukee vs Loyola Chicago?
The model gives Loyola Chicago a 64% chance to beat Milwaukee, with a projected score of Loyola Chicago 66, Milwaukee 62.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loyola Chicago | |||||
| NtambueG · 31 min | 9.1 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 10+ 42% | |
| VaughnF · 25 min | 9.1 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 10+ 42% | |
| MercilleG · 25 min | 7.2 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5+ 67% | |
| Le FaouF · 21 min | 7.1 | 4.9 | 0.5 | 5+ 66% | |
| Milwaukee | |||||
| PughF · 22 min | 10.7 | 5.1 | 0.6 | 10+ 53% | |
| MadiganG · 25 min | 9.8 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 10+ 47% | |
| FitzgibbonG · 24 min | 9.6 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 10+ 45% | |
| GomesG · 12 min | 5.5 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 5+ 51% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Brooklyn Vaughn: Milwaukee 38%Loyola Chicago 62%
The white mark is the call with her: Loyola Chicago 64%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Loyola Chicago without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loyola Chicago | ||||
| Brooklyn Vaughn | 0.6 | 62% | −2 | 62–66 |
| MD Ntambue | 0.5 | 62% | −2 | 62–66 |
Change is in Loyola Chicago's win chance, in points. Scores read Milwaukee, then Loyola Chicago. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Milwaukee 1-3LLLW
- Nov 12W 77-49vs North Dakota
- Nov 8L 57-63at SIUE
- Nov 5L 62-81at Saint Louis
- Nov 3L 60-64at Northwestern
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 64.0 and allowing 64.2
Loyola Chicago 2-1WLW
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 61.3 and allowing 71.3
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Milwaukee | Loyola Chicago | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 86.5 241st | 86.3 244th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 99.2 287th | 98.2 260th |
| Possessions a game | 70.4 321st | 71.0 285th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.9% 52nd | 43.2% 308th |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.4% 168th | 46.9% 263rd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.7% 45th | 25.4% 297th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.2% 309th | 33.8% 136th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.16 358th | 0.22 109th |
The widest gap: Loyola Chicago's offense (244th) against Milwaukee's defense (287th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Milwaukee 29, Loyola Chicago 32
- First-half margin
- Loyola Chicago by 2.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 60.8
- Projected second half
- Milwaukee 33, Loyola Chicago 35
- Second-half points, both teams
- 67.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Milwaukee, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 35.0 scored, 29.8 allowed
- Loyola Chicago, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 27.0 scored, 39.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Milwaukee
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton RechliczG | 31 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 4+ reb 45% · 3+ ast 39% | |||||
| Jaeda MurphyG | 25 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 43% · 3+ ast 54% | |||||
| Tierney MadiganG | 25 | 9.8 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 5+ reb 54% · 3+ ast 44% | |||||
| Madison FitzgibbonG | 24 | 9.6 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 2+ reb 55% · 2+ threes 48% | |||||
| Izzy PughF | 22 | 10.7 | 5.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 5+ reb 53% | |||||
| Kendall BarnesG | 14 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 40% · 2+ ast 30% | |||||
| Cece McNairC | 13 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 19% · 3+ reb 54% | |||||
| Rita GomesG | 12 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 2+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
Loyola Chicago
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MD NtambueG | 31 | 9.1 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Mireia JuradoG | 30 | 6.5 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 4+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Rosalie MercilleG | 25 | 7.2 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 2+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 43% | |||||
| Brooklyn VaughnF | 25 | 9.1 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 6+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Angela Le FaouF | 21 | 7.1 | 4.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 5+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Kendall HendrixG | 19 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Gabby WilkeF | 17 | 5.7 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 3+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Gemma WichmannF | 17 | 5.0 | 5.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 6+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 24% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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