Seton Hall at UConn
Women's · Friday, November 20, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at PeoplesBank Arena. Seton Hall our rank 76 · 2-1; UConn AP 4, our rank 2 · 3-1.
Who will win Seton Hall vs UConn?
The model gives UConn a >99% chance to beat Seton Hall, with a projected score of UConn 86, Seton Hall 48.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UConn | |||||
| StrongF · 26 min | 21.7 | 7.5 | 3.9 | 20+ 58% | |
| PopovicG · 26 min | 12.0 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 10+ 62% | |
| ArnoldG · 26 min | 9.4 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 10+ 44% | |
| QuinonezF · 21 min | 9.4 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 10+ 44% | |
| Seton Hall | |||||
| CatalonG · 29 min | 10.6 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 10+ 53% | |
| CraftG · 26 min | 7.5 | 4.5 | 0.4 | 5+ 69% | |
| ScepanovicF · 26 min | 6.4 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 5+ 60% | |
| WoodardG · 23 min | 5.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5+ 50% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Sarah Strong: Seton Hall 1%UConn 99%
The white mark is the call with her: UConn >99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | UConn without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UConn | ||||
| Sarah Strong | 10.5 | 99% | −1 | 53–81 |
| KK Arnold | 7.1 | 99% | −1 | 52–83 |
| Blanca Quinonez | 6.1 | >99% | 0 | 51–83 |
| Ashlynn Shade | 5.0 | >99% | 0 | 51–84 |
| Seton Hall | ||||
| Savannah Catalon | 4.5 | >99% | 0 | 46–88 |
| Ja'Kahla Craft | 3.5 | >99% | 0 | 46–88 |
| Ari Woodard | 1.8 | >99% | 0 | 47–87 |
| Saniyah King | 1.2 | >99% | 0 | 48–87 |
Change is in UConn's win chance, in points. Scores read Seton Hall, then UConn. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Seton Hall 2-1WWL
- Nov 12L 67-69vs Fairfield
- Nov 6W 74-56vs Indiana St
- Nov 3W 63-37vs Mercyhurst
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 68.0 and allowing 54.0
UConn 3-1WLWW
- Nov 12W 87-55at Ohio StateCovered −9.5 · Under 147.5
- Nov 8W 91-79vs IowaDidn't cover −13.5 · Over 138.5
- Nov 5L 66-77at MichiganDidn't cover −8.5 · Over 142.5
- Nov 2W 100-35vs Cornell
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 86.0 and allowing 61.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–2
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Seton Hall | UConn | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 95.4 110th | 120.7 2nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 84.2 54th | 69.5 2nd |
| Possessions a game | 71.3 251st | 73.7 57th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.0% 279th | 52.8% 1st |
| Opponents' shooting | 43.4% 62nd | 44.2% 103rd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 24.5% 260th | 22.0% 61st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 35.1% 78th | 34.9% 84th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 92nd | 0.18 341st |
The widest gap: UConn's defense (2nd) against Seton Hall's offense (110th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Seton Hall 21, UConn 43
- First-half margin
- UConn by 21.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.7
- Projected second half
- Seton Hall 27, UConn 43
- Second-half points, both teams
- 70.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Seton Hall, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 33.3 scored, 27.0 allowed
- UConn, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 41.2 scored, 30.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Seton Hall
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Savannah CatalonG | 29 | 10.6 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Ja'Kahla CraftG | 26 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 5+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Ksenija ScepanovicF | 26 | 6.4 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 4+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Ari WoodardG | 23 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 2+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 35% | |||||
| Saniyah KingG | 19 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| 2+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 34% · 1+ threes 19% | |||||
| Savanna JonesF | 18 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 3+ reb 43% | |||||
| Shailyn PinkneyG | 14 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 20% · 1+ threes 16% | |||||
| Shamira MortonF | 14 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 26% · 3+ reb 45% | |||||
UConn
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah StrongF | 26 | 21.7 | 7.5 | 3.9 | 2.4 |
| 20+ pts 58% · 8+ reb 46% · 4+ ast 52% | |||||
| KK ArnoldG | 26 | 9.4 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 58% · 5+ ast 48% | |||||
| Jovana PopovicG | 26 | 12.0 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 4+ reb 53% · 3+ ast 56% | |||||
| Ashlynn ShadeG | 23 | 7.3 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 3+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 60% | |||||
| Blanca QuinonezF | 21 | 9.4 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 4+ reb 43% · 3+ ast 48% | |||||
| Olivia VukosaC | 20 | 7.3 | 7.7 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 8+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Jana El AlfyC | 15 | 5.1 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 5+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 36% | |||||
| Kayleigh HeckelG | 15 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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