West Georgia at Miss Valley St
Women's · Friday, November 20, 2026, 1:00 PM ET at R.W. Harrison HPER Complex. West Georgia our rank 267 · 2-1; Miss Valley St our rank 358 · 0-4.
Who will win West Georgia vs Miss Valley St?
The model gives West Georgia a 84% chance to beat Mississippi Valley State, with a projected score of West Georgia 74, Miss Valley St 61.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Georgia | |||||
| TolbertG · 34 min | 14.3 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 15+ 44% | |
| O'GaraG · 34 min | 12.0 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 10+ 62% | |
| GentileG · 28 min | 11.2 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 10+ 57% | |
| ParhamG · 30 min | 9.5 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 10+ 44% | |
| Miss Valley St | |||||
| MarshallG · 31 min | 13.8 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 15+ 41% | |
| WintersG · 28 min | 10.7 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 10+ 54% | |
| BlockG · 30 min | 7.5 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 5+ 69% | |
| Lee-RoseF · 23 min | 6.4 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 5+ 60% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
West Georgia 2-1LWW
- Nov 10W 89-50vs Fort Valley State
- Nov 7W 80-78vs Alabama St
- Nov 2L 53-92at Georgia
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 74.0 and allowing 73.3
Miss Valley St 0-4LLLL
- Nov 12L 55-87at Lipscomb
- Nov 9L 55-75at Southern Miss
- Nov 5L 62-83at Chicago St
- Nov 3L 42-80at Marquette
- Last 4
- 0–4, scoring 53.5 and allowing 81.2
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| West Georgia | Miss Valley St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 87.4 229th | 70.9 360th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 100.8 309th | 102.4 330th |
| Possessions a game | 73.0 96th | 75.8 9th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 42.7% 321st | 39.6% 362nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.2% 224th | 46.8% 261st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.9% 53rd | 24.4% 257th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.7% 245th | 31.2% 270th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 120th | 0.23 70th |
The widest gap: West Georgia's offense (229th) against Miss Valley St's defense (330th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- West Georgia 36, Miss Valley St 29
- First-half margin
- West Georgia by 7.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.1
- Projected second half
- West Georgia 38, Miss Valley St 33
- Second-half points, both teams
- 71.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- West Georgia, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 34.3 scored, 36.7 allowed
- Miss Valley St, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 4 · 22.2 scored, 42.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
West Georgia
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydne TolbertG | 34 | 14.3 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 1.3 |
| 15+ pts 44% · 4+ reb 48% · 4+ ast 48% | |||||
| Grace O'GaraG | 34 | 12.0 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 4+ reb 46% · 5+ ast 45% | |||||
| Parris ParhamG | 30 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 4+ reb 45% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Meghan GentileG | 28 | 11.2 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 4+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 48% | |||||
| Kobi BarnesF | 22 | 6.4 | 6.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 6+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
| Mya JonesG | 22 | 7.9 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Ongolea AfuF | 20 | 5.0 | 6.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 7+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 21% | |||||
Miss Valley St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydnei MarshallG | 31 | 13.8 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 15+ pts 41% · 4+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 41% | |||||
| Bryana BlockG | 30 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 4+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 58% | |||||
| I'Xana WintersG | 28 | 10.7 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 4+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Te'Lynn Lee-RoseF | 23 | 6.4 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 6+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 23% | |||||
| Joyce MulumbaC | 20 | 2.4 | 5.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 19% · 5+ reb 53% | |||||
| Ja'la DouglasG | 19 | 4.5 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 24% | |||||
| Mariah Reed-JonesG | 16 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 3+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 35% | |||||
| Ka'Mbili NelsonF | 15 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 3+ reb 50% | |||||
Missed the last game: Keanna Coburn (19 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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