Kent State at Cleveland St
Women's · Saturday, November 21, 2026, 3:30 PM ET at Wolstein Center. Kent State our rank 189 · 0-2; Cleveland St our rank 158 · 1-2.
Who will win Kent State vs Cleveland St?
The model gives Cleveland State a 72% chance to beat Kent State, with a projected score of Cleveland St 71, Kent State 63.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland St | |||||
| TaylorG · 31 min | 14.6 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 15+ 46% | |
| OliverG · 32 min | 10.5 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 10+ 52% | |
| GonzalezF · 22 min | 9.1 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 10+ 42% | |
| PiqueG · 34 min | 8.3 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 10+ 36% | |
| Kent State | |||||
| KlattF · 31 min | 11.9 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 10+ 62% | |
| HauserG · 27 min | 10.9 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 10+ 55% | |
| RismillerC · 29 min | 10.8 | 6.6 | 0.7 | 10+ 54% | |
| LuukkonenG · 33 min | 8.5 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 10+ 37% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Macie Taylor: Kent State 34%Cleveland St 66%
The white mark is the call with her: Cleveland St 72%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Cleveland St without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland St | ||||
| Macie Taylor | 2.2 | 66% | −6 | 64–70 |
| Sarah Hurley | 0.9 | 70% | −2 | 64–70 |
| Alexa Hocevar | 0.9 | 70% | −2 | 64–70 |
| Paula Pique | 0.9 | 70% | −2 | 64–70 |
| Kent State | ||||
| Emory Klatt | 2.8 | 79% | +7 | 62–72 |
| Riley Rismiller | 1.8 | 77% | +5 | 62–72 |
| Corynne Hauser | 0.6 | 74% | +2 | 63–71 |
Change is in Cleveland St's win chance, in points. Scores read Kent State, then Cleveland St. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Kent State 0-2LL
- Nov 7L 58-61at N Kentucky
- Nov 2L 78-89vs Troy
- Last 2
- 0–2, scoring 68.0 and allowing 75.0
Cleveland St 1-2WLL
- Nov 10L 71-76at Drake
- Nov 5L 73-77at Bowling Green
- Nov 2W 62-61at Penn State
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 68.7 and allowing 71.3
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Kent State | Cleveland St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 88.2 213th | 92.0 151st |
| Points allowed per 100 | 94.0 172nd | 93.7 164th |
| Possessions a game | 73.5 71st | 71.9 193rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 43.8% 287th | 45.9% 144th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.6% 247th | 43.8% 77th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.7% 116th | 20.9% 17th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.6% 332nd | 30.1% 313th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 35th | 0.25 20th |
The widest gap: Cleveland St's defense (164th) against Kent State's offense (213th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Kent State 30, Cleveland St 34
- First-half margin
- Cleveland St by 4.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.4
- Projected second half
- Kent State 34, Cleveland St 37
- Second-half points, both teams
- 70.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Kent State, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 2 · 33.0 scored, 37.5 allowed
- Cleveland St, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 31.0 scored, 35.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Kent State
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sini LuukkonenG | 33 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 4+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 51% | |||||
| Emory KlattF | 31 | 11.9 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 8+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 27% | |||||
| Riley RismillerC | 29 | 10.8 | 6.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 40% to play · 10+ pts 54% · 7+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
| Corynne HauserG | 27 | 10.9 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 3+ ast 46% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Talia HarrisG | 27 | 7.5 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 3+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 54% | |||||
| Whitney StaffordG | 25 | 7.2 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 3+ reb 45% · 2+ threes 37% | |||||
| Maddie KiperG | 18 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 2+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Anna CampanelliG | 16 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 2+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 32% | |||||
Cleveland St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paula PiqueG | 34 | 8.3 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 2+ ast 49% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Chloe OliverG | 32 | 10.5 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 5+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Macie TaylorG | 31 | 14.6 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| 15+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 58% | |||||
| Sarah HurleyG | 30 | 5.6 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 4+ reb 54% · 2+ threes 52% | |||||
| Alexa HocevarG | 26 | 7.2 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 7+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Silvia GonzalezF | 22 | 9.1 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 5+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 35% | |||||
| Annika CorcoranG | 19 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 2+ reb 33% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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