Who will win Radford vs Furman?
The model gives Furman a 55% chance to beat Radford, with a projected score of Furman 66, Radford 65.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Furman | |||||
| CoyleF · 28 min | 17.5 | 7.8 | 1.2 | 15+ 63% | |
| ErvinG · 28 min | 16.1 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 15+ 55% | |
| McGowensG · 30 min | 10.0 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 10+ 48% | |
| PearlG · 24 min | 6.5 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 5+ 61% | |
 Radford | |||||
| NiceG · 26 min | 14.3 | 6.4 | 1.8 | 15+ 45% | |
| SimonsenF · 25 min | 12.7 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 15+ 35% | |
| Luebbers PalmerG · 21 min | 8.2 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 10+ 35% | |
| FieldsG · 28 min | 7.5 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 5+ 69% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Clare Coyle: Radford 51%Furman 49%
The white mark is the call with her: Furman 55%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Furman without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Furman | ||||
| Clare Coyle | 1.9 | 49% | −6 | 66–65 |
| Alyssa Ervin | 0.8 | 53% | −2 | 65–66 |
| Radford | ||||
| Georgia Simonsen | 1.7 | 62% | +7 | 64–67 |
| Angelina Nice | 0.9 | 59% | +4 | 64–67 |
Change is in Furman's win chance, in points. Scores read Radford, then Furman. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Radford 2-2LWLW
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 78.5 and allowing 53.2
Furman 2-2LWWL
- Nov 10L 56-74at Auburn
- Nov 6W 77-38vs Southern Wesleyan
- Nov 4W 106-48vs Erskine
- Nov 2L 54-80at South Florida
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 73.2 and allowing 60.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Radford | Furman | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 87.8 224th | 87.0 231st |
| Points allowed per 100 | 93.3 157th | 95.0 194th |
| Possessions a game | 72.5 135th | 73.2 84th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.4% 123rd | 44.1% 271st |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.3% 166th | 46.0% 213th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.2% 153rd | 23.1% 149th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.6% 142nd | 31.3% 260th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 198th | 0.24 34th |
The widest gap: Radford's defense (157th) against Furman's offense (231st), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Radford 31, Furman 31
- First-half margin
- Furman by 0.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.1
- Projected second half
- Radford 34, Furman 35
- Second-half points, both teams
- 68.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Radford, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 42.0 scored, 23.0 allowed
- Furman, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 37.8 scored, 28.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Radford
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kailyn FieldsG | 28 | 7.5 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 3+ ast 58% · 2+ threes 38% | |||||
| Angelina NiceG | 26 | 14.3 | 6.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| 15+ pts 45% · 7+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 51% | |||||
| Cate CarlsonG | 25 | 6.9 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 41% | |||||
| Georgia SimonsenF | 25 | 12.7 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 0.1 |
| 15+ pts 35% · 6+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 35% | |||||
| Cherish HaywoodG | 24 | 7.2 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Logan Luebbers PalmerG | 21 | 8.2 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 62% | |||||
| Jordin RichardsonG | 17 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 31% | |||||
| Anaiah JenkinsF | 12 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 19% | |||||
Furman
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raina McGowensG | 30 | 10.0 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 5+ reb 43% · 3+ ast 53% | |||||
| Clare CoyleF | 28 | 17.5 | 7.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| 15+ pts 63% · 8+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 32% | |||||
| Alyssa ErvinG | 28 | 16.1 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 15+ pts 55% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 44% | |||||
| Sophia PearlG | 24 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 2+ reb 45% · 3+ ast 42% | |||||
| Nariah NelsonG | 22 | 6.3 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Emma BriggsF | 22 | 6.0 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 6+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 28% | |||||
| Ciara AlexanderG | 18 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 31% to play · 5+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 49% | |||||
| Ava SawiG | 16 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 30% | |||||
Missed the last game: Ciara Alexander (18 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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