West Virginia v Notre Dame
Women's · Thursday, November 26, 2026, 11:30 AM ET at Imperial Arena. West Virginia AP 24, our rank 30 · 3-0; Notre Dame AP 13, our rank 17 · 3-0.
Who will win West Virginia vs Notre Dame?
The model gives Notre Dame a 71% chance to beat West Virginia, with a projected score of Notre Dame 76, West Virginia 70.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | |||||
| HidalgoG · 30 min | 21.4 | 6.2 | 3.6 | 20+ 57% | |
| St. RoseG · 28 min | 14.2 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 15+ 44% | |
| MacyF · 26 min | 13.8 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 15+ 41% | |
| HardyF · 24 min | 12.6 | 7.9 | 0.3 | 15+ 34% | |
| West Virginia | |||||
| ForbesF · 33 min | 17.0 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 15+ 61% | |
| CookeG · 34 min | 16.0 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 15+ 55% | |
| WaltonG · 28 min | 12.2 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 10+ 63% | |
| NgoduC · 23 min | 7.6 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 10+ 31% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Hannah Hidalgo: West Virginia 58%Notre Dame 42%
The white mark is the call with her: Notre Dame 71%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Notre Dame without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | ||||
| Hannah Hidalgo | 9.1 | 42% | −29 | 74–72 |
| Anaya Hardy | 5.9 | 52% | −19 | 73–73 |
| Madison St. Rose | 5.7 | 53% | −18 | 73–73 |
| Leah Macy | 2.3 | 64% | −7 | 71–75 |
| West Virginia | ||||
| Gia Cooke | 5.2 | 83% | +12 | 67–79 |
| Zahirah Walton | 4.8 | 82% | +11 | 67–79 |
| Skylar Forbes | 4.7 | 82% | +11 | 67–79 |
| Khyala Ngodu | 3.2 | 79% | +8 | 68–78 |
Change is in Notre Dame's win chance, in points. Scores read West Virginia, then Notre Dame. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
West Virginia 3-0WWW
- Nov 8W 81-63at Georgia Tech
- Nov 5W 78-66vs G WashingtonDidn't cover −20.5 · Over 130.5
- Nov 3W 68-64vs Rhode Island
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 75.7 and allowing 64.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
Notre Dame 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 108-60vs Detroit Mercy
- Nov 6W 123-40vs StonehillCovered −45.5 · Over 146.5
- Nov 1W 99-75vs Villanova
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 110.0 and allowing 58.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| West Virginia | Notre Dame | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 105.4 39th | 113.6 12th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 80.6 23rd | 80.8 24th |
| Possessions a game | 72.5 135th | 74.5 24th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.0% 94th | 52.4% 3rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.3% 287th | 42.6% 31st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.7% 199th | 21.1% 22nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 36.5% 43rd | 36.7% 39th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 133rd | 0.21 219th |
First half
- Projected halftime score
- West Virginia 33, Notre Dame 37
- First-half margin
- Notre Dame by 3.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 69.2
- Projected second half
- West Virginia 37, Notre Dame 40
- Second-half points, both teams
- 76.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- West Virginia, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 39.7 scored, 30.3 allowed
- Notre Dame, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 2 · 61.5 scored, 21.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
West Virginia
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gia CookeG | 34 | 16.0 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 15+ pts 55% · 2+ ast 57% · 2+ threes 43% | |||||
| Skylar ForbesF | 33 | 17.0 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 15+ pts 61% · 5+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Zahirah WaltonG | 28 | 12.2 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 5+ reb 46% · 3+ ast 40% | |||||
| Khyala NgoduC | 23 | 7.6 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 7+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 41% | |||||
| Kennedy HarrisG | 22 | 7.6 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 70% · 2+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Marya HudginsG | 17 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 25% · 3+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Divine TumbaF | 15 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 4+ reb 57% | |||||
| Nylah WilsonG | 14 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 2+ reb 36% · 1+ threes 29% | |||||
Notre Dame
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah HidalgoG | 30 | 21.4 | 6.2 | 3.6 | 0.9 |
| 20+ pts 57% · 6+ reb 54% · 4+ ast 48% | |||||
| Madison St. RoseG | 28 | 14.2 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| 15+ pts 44% · 4+ reb 55% · 3+ ast 41% | |||||
| Leah MacyF | 26 | 13.8 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 0.3 |
| 15+ pts 41% · 6+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 40% | |||||
| Jacy AbiiG | 25 | 10.5 | 5.9 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 6+ reb 51% · 4+ ast 45% | |||||
| Anaya HardyF | 24 | 12.6 | 7.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 15+ pts 34% · 8+ reb 51% | |||||
| Jenica LewisG | 20 | 8.6 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Amari BylesG | 14 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 24% | |||||
| Bella RagoneG | 14 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 2+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 37% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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