Who will win Georgia vs Colorado?
The model gives Colorado a 62% chance to beat Georgia, with a projected score of Colorado 66, Georgia 63.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Colorado | |||||
| GreerF · 26 min | 13.0 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 15+ 36% | |
| WalkerG · 27 min | 10.8 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 10+ 54% | |
| AdlerC · 18 min | 8.9 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 10+ 40% | |
| SandersG · 26 min | 8.6 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 10+ 38% | |
 Georgia | |||||
| HowardF · 20 min | 11.2 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 10+ 57% | |
| BrownG · 25 min | 10.5 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 10+ 52% | |
| SmithG · 27 min | 9.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 10+ 46% | |
| AdebanjoF · 19 min | 7.8 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 10+ 32% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Zyanna Walker: Georgia 51%Colorado 49%
The white mark is the call with her: Colorado 62%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Colorado without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado | ||||
| Zyanna Walker | 3.9 | 49% | −13 | 65–64 |
| Logyn Greer | 3.8 | 50% | −12 | 65–64 |
| Kennedy Sanders | 3.2 | 52% | −10 | 64–65 |
| Anete Adler | 2.1 | 55% | −7 | 64–65 |
| Georgia | ||||
| Dakota Howard | 3.5 | 72% | +10 | 61–68 |
| Nya Smith | 2.4 | 69% | +7 | 61–68 |
| Jordan Thomas | 2.3 | 69% | +7 | 61–67 |
| Tyreona Sibley | 2.3 | 69% | +7 | 61–67 |
Change is in Colorado's win chance, in points. Scores read Georgia, then Colorado. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Georgia 4-0WWWW
- Nov 11W 84-42vs Kennesaw St
- Nov 8W 74-48vs Nicholls
- Nov 5W 75-40vs WinthropCovered −34.5 · Under 133.5
- Nov 2W 92-53vs West Georgia
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 81.2 and allowing 45.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Georgia | Colorado | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 102.1 58th | 102.9 52nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 81.8 32nd | 79.2 19th |
| Possessions a game | 72.2 156th | 71.3 251st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.5% 119th | 46.6% 116th |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.9% 145th | 44.0% 87th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.6% 41st | 22.4% 88th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.0% 168th | 33.5% 146th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 87th | 0.21 190th |
The widest gap: Colorado's defense (19th) against Georgia's offense (58th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Georgia 30, Colorado 32
- First-half margin
- Colorado by 2.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 61.1
- Projected second half
- Georgia 33, Colorado 35
- Second-half points, both teams
- 67.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Georgia, first halves so far
- Led 4 of 4 · 40.8 scored, 21.8 allowed
- Colorado, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 36.3 scored, 17.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Georgia
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nya SmithG | 27 | 9.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 36% | |||||
| Aubrey BeckhamG | 26 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 2+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Milan BrownG | 25 | 10.5 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 5+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Jailyn BanksG | 21 | 7.0 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| 50% to play · 5+ pts 65% · 2+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 53% | |||||
| Tyreona SibleyG | 21 | 5.1 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 4+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Dakota HowardF | 20 | 11.2 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 4+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 27% | |||||
| Jordana CodioG | 20 | 6.2 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Blessing AdebanjoF | 19 | 7.8 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 5+ reb 44% | |||||
Missed the last game: Jailyn Banks (22 min a game).
Colorado
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zyanna WalkerG | 27 | 10.8 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 55% | |||||
| Logyn GreerF | 26 | 13.0 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| 15+ pts 36% · 6+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
| Kennedy SandersG | 26 | 8.6 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 57% · 3+ ast 51% | |||||
| Mecailin MarshallG | 25 | 8.6 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 55% · 2+ threes 35% | |||||
| Anete AdlerC | 18 | 8.9 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 3+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 38% | |||||
| Claire O'ConnorG | 17 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 30% | |||||
| Jade CrookC | 17 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 3+ reb 58% | |||||
| Kira ReynoldsF | 11 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 15% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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