Stetson at South Florida
Tuesday, November 24, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Yuengling Center. Stetson our rank 324 · 0-4; South Florida our rank 94 · 1-2.
Who will win Stetson vs South Florida?
The model gives South Florida a 97% chance to beat Stetson, with a projected score of South Florida 90, Stetson 69.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | |||||
| WilsonG · 34 min | 17.2 | 3.0 | 6.8 | 15+ 62% | |
| Davis Jr.G · 31 min | 16.1 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 15+ 55% | |
| JohnsonF · 25 min | 13.9 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 15+ 42% | |
| HighF · 24 min | 13.2 | 7.5 | 1.7 | 15+ 38% | |
| Stetson | |||||
| KuhlF · 27 min | 15.8 | 6.3 | 1.1 | 15+ 54% | |
| EntenmannF · 24 min | 8.2 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 10+ 35% | |
| SucatzkyG · 27 min | 7.0 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 5+ 64% | |
| DoyleF · 25 min | 6.6 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 5+ 61% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Zayden High: Stetson 4%South Florida 96%
The white mark is the call with him: South Florida 97%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | South Florida without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | ||||
| Zayden High | 2.4 | 96% | −1 | 70–89 |
| Sonny Wilson | 2.2 | 96% | −1 | 70–89 |
| Garrett Johnson | 1.7 | 96% | −1 | 70–90 |
| Josh Omojafo | 1.7 | 96% | −1 | 70–90 |
Change is in South Florida's win chance, in points. Scores read Stetson, then South Florida. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Stetson 0-4LLLL
- Nov 12L 62-75at HowardDidn't cover +9.5 · Under 148.5
- Nov 6L 53-91at West VirginiaDidn't cover +27.5 · Over 140.5
- Nov 3L 55-81at South Carolina
- Nov 2L 72-85at Clemson
- Last 4
- 0–4, scoring 60.5 and allowing 83.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
South Florida 1-2WLL
- Nov 11L 80-83vs Saint Joseph'sDidn't cover −6.5 · Over 148.5
- Nov 5L 80-82at DePaulCovered +6.5 · Over 149.5
- Nov 2W 98-71vs Charleston So
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 86.0 and allowing 78.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Stetson | South Florida | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 101.1 245th | 112.6 69th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 117.2 358th | 105.4 120th |
| Possessions a game | 69.5 307th | 72.7 29th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.4% 114th | 52.6% 55th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.9% 329th | 50.0% 143rd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.5% 112th | 17.5% 114th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.7% 294th | 33.7% 74th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 249th | 0.25 218th |
The widest gap: South Florida's offense (69th) against Stetson's defense (358th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Stetson 32, South Florida 43
- First-half margin
- South Florida by 11.7
- First-half points, both teams
- 74.9
- Projected second half
- Stetson 38, South Florida 47
- Second-half points, both teams
- 84.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Stetson, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 4 · 29.0 scored, 43.5 allowed
- South Florida, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 37.3 scored, 40.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Stetson
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin KuhlF | 27 | 15.8 | 6.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 15+ pts 54% · 6+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Thiago SucatzkyG | 27 | 7.0 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 2+ reb 43% · 4+ ast 58% | |||||
| Alex DoyleF | 25 | 6.6 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 3+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Magnus EntenmannF | 24 | 8.2 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 5+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Makhi MylesF | 21 | 6.4 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Sean MorganG | 18 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 2+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 40% | |||||
| Roman MillerG | 15 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 2+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 35% | |||||
| Finley SheridanF | 14 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 26% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
South Florida
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny WilsonG | 34 | 17.2 | 3.0 | 6.8 | 0.9 |
| 15+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 52% · 7+ ast 51% | |||||
| Chris Davis Jr.G | 31 | 16.1 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| 15+ pts 55% · 2+ ast 49% · 2+ threes 53% | |||||
| Mike JamesG | 28 | 9.0 | 6.4 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 7+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 58% | |||||
| Garrett JohnsonF | 25 | 13.9 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 15+ pts 42% · 4+ reb 48% · 3+ threes 41% | |||||
| Zayden HighF | 24 | 13.2 | 7.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 8+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
| Andrej ShoshkikjG | 20 | 9.9 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 3+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 58% | |||||
| Josh OmojafoG | 16 | 7.3 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 3+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 35% | |||||
| Tiefing DiawaraC | 11 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 18% · 3+ reb 57% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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