NC Central at UNC Greensboro
Women's · Thursday, November 19, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Bodford Arena. NC Central our rank 349 · 2-3; UNC Greensboro our rank 283 · 3-1.
Who will win NC Central vs UNC Greensboro?
The model gives UNC Greensboro a 89% chance to beat North Carolina Central, with a projected score of UNC Greensboro 70, NC Central 55.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Greensboro | |||||
| TonyG · 30 min | 12.2 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 10+ 64% | |
| SimpsonG · 28 min | 9.5 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 10+ 45% | |
| MinorG · 30 min | 9.1 | 6.2 | 4.1 | 10+ 42% | |
| Robinson-HolmesG · 28 min | 7.4 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 5+ 68% | |
| NC Central | |||||
| MorrisG · 32 min | 11.3 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 10+ 57% | |
| AmerC · 25 min | 8.6 | 5.4 | 0.7 | 10+ 38% | |
| HintonG · 24 min | 7.8 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 10+ 32% | |
| ClayG · 27 min | 7.2 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 5+ 67% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
NC Central 2-3LWLWL
- Nov 11L 40-109at North CarolinaDidn't cover +46.5 · Over 136.5
- Nov 9W 60-56vs Fayetteville State
- Nov 7L 48-82at UNC Wilmington
- Nov 4W 99-73vs Johnson C. Smith
- Nov 2L 39-85at Virginia Tech
- Last five
- 2–3, scoring 57.2 and allowing 81.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
UNC Greensboro 3-1WWLW
- Nov 11W 59-54at Gardner-Webb
- Nov 8L 44-72at Clemson
- Nov 5W 72-51vs Columbia (SC)
- Nov 2W 58-50vs Presbyterian
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 58.2 and allowing 56.8
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| NC Central | UNC Greensboro | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 76.7 346th | 80.6 311th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 104.1 343rd | 96.0 217th |
| Possessions a game | 75.0 12th | 70.0 338th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 41.7% 342nd | 44.5% 241st |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.4% 360th | 41.6% 17th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 26.9% 338th | 26.9% 339th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.7% 242nd | 34.4% 106th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 176th | 0.20 233rd |
The widest gap: UNC Greensboro's defense (217th) against NC Central's offense (346th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- NC Central 25, UNC Greensboro 34
- First-half margin
- UNC Greensboro by 8.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 59.5
- Projected second half
- NC Central 30, UNC Greensboro 36
- Second-half points, both teams
- 66.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- NC Central, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 5 · 27.2 scored, 40.6 allowed
- UNC Greensboro, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 29.2 scored, 19.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
NC Central
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria MorrisG | 32 | 11.3 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 6+ reb 52% · 3+ ast 39% | |||||
| Eboni ClayG | 27 | 7.2 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 2+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 39% | |||||
| Shrouq AmerC | 25 | 8.6 | 5.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 6+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
| Aysia HintonG | 24 | 7.8 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 1.4 |
| 29% to play · 10+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 38% | |||||
| Chloe CrawfordF | 22 | 5.8 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 32% | |||||
| Amaya HarrisG | 19 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 2+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 29% | |||||
| Kenadi BanksG | 18 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 36% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Dianna BlakeF | 18 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 31% · 4+ reb 47% | |||||
Missed the last game: Aysia Hinton (25 min a game).
UNC Greensboro
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloria TonyG | 30 | 12.2 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| 10+ pts 64% · 5+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 53% | |||||
| Leyla MinorG | 30 | 9.1 | 6.2 | 4.1 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 6+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Rose SimpsonG | 28 | 9.5 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 48% | |||||
| Kristina RakotobeF | 28 | 7.2 | 8.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 8+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 36% | |||||
| Savannah Robinson-HolmesG | 28 | 7.4 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 3+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Tiarna Chambers-DesmondF | 21 | 7.1 | 6.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 6+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 23% | |||||
| Amy JakpaF | 18 | 5.1 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 5+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 26% | |||||
| Joelle DavisG | 12 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 37% · 2+ reb 20% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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