Little Rock at Oklahoma St
Women's · Friday, November 20, 2026, 7:30 PM ET at Gallagher-Iba Arena. Little Rock our rank 237 · 1-3; Oklahoma St AP 19, our rank 26 · 3-1.
Who will win Little Rock vs Oklahoma St?
The model gives Oklahoma State a >99% chance to beat Little Rock, with a projected score of Oklahoma St 82, Little Rock 48.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma St | |||||
| CrooksC · 25 min | 18.2 | 6.8 | 0.9 | 20+ 40% | |
| McGillG · 28 min | 16.4 | 5.7 | 6.3 | 15+ 57% | |
| NdiayeG · 26 min | 11.9 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 10+ 61% | |
| DengG · 23 min | 9.6 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 10+ 45% | |
| Little Rock | |||||
| AnisiobiF · 26 min | 10.0 | 5.5 | 0.7 | 10+ 49% | |
| JonesF · 26 min | 8.1 | 5.3 | 0.4 | 10+ 34% | |
| BurkG · 26 min | 7.3 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5+ 68% | |
| KempG · 27 min | 5.9 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 5+ 55% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Audi Crooks: Little Rock 1%Oklahoma St 99%
The white mark is the call with her: Oklahoma St >99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Oklahoma St without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma St | ||||
| Audi Crooks | 6.0 | 99% | −1 | 51–79 |
| Liv McGill | 4.8 | 99% | −1 | 50–79 |
| Stailee Heard | 3.5 | 99% | −1 | 49–80 |
| Yuting Deng | 2.9 | 99% | −1 | 49–80 |
Change is in Oklahoma St's win chance, in points. Scores read Little Rock, then Oklahoma St. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Little Rock 1-3WLLL
- Nov 12L 64-71vs North Florida
- Nov 9L 48-62at Memphis
- Nov 6L 50-73vs Missouri
- Nov 2W 108-12vs Central Baptist
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 67.5 and allowing 54.5
Oklahoma St 3-1WWWL
- Nov 12L 62-64at TulsaDidn't cover −24.5 · Under 139.5
- Nov 9W 94-56vs N'Western St
- Nov 6W 92-38vs Morgan StCovered −50.5 · Under 139.5
- Nov 2W 81-39vs Southern
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 82.2 and allowing 49.2
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Little Rock | Oklahoma St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 83.6 275th | 106.6 34th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 95.2 200th | 81.1 26th |
| Possessions a game | 71.4 234th | 72.1 164th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 40.2% 358th | 47.8% 55th |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.1% 272nd | 42.4% 23rd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.1% 70th | 23.0% 134th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.2% 269th | 33.8% 134th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 194th | 0.25 18th |
The widest gap: Oklahoma St's defense (26th) against Little Rock's offense (275th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Little Rock 21, Oklahoma St 41
- First-half margin
- Oklahoma St by 19.7
- First-half points, both teams
- 61.3
- Projected second half
- Little Rock 27, Oklahoma St 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 68.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Little Rock, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 29.5 scored, 24.2 allowed
- Oklahoma St, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 38.5 scored, 21.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Little Rock
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia KempG | 27 | 5.9 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 2+ reb 49% · 3+ ast 44% | |||||
| Brenna BurkG | 26 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 2+ reb 55% · 2+ threes 46% | |||||
| Neso AnisiobiF | 26 | 10.0 | 5.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 6+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 15% | |||||
| Senoj JonesF | 26 | 8.1 | 5.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 5+ reb 57% | |||||
| Mya CottoG | 25 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 60% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Payton FutchG | 16 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 2+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
| Blessing TeamerF | 15 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 2+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 17% | |||||
| Pearson McVayF | 12 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 16% · 3+ reb 40% | |||||
Oklahoma St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stailee HeardG | 28 | 8.6 | 6.0 | 3.2 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 6+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Liv McGillG | 28 | 16.4 | 5.7 | 6.3 | 1.0 |
| 15+ pts 57% · 6+ reb 48% · 7+ ast 44% | |||||
| Nene NdiayeG | 26 | 11.9 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 4+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 38% | |||||
| Audi CrooksC | 25 | 18.2 | 6.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| 20+ pts 40% · 7+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 23% | |||||
| Yuting DengG | 23 | 9.6 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 5+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| LA SneedG | 21 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 3+ reb 42% · 3+ ast 50% | |||||
| Callin HakeG | 20 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 53% · 3+ ast 39% | |||||
| Talexa WeeterG | 17 | 5.8 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 3+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 35% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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