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Lindenwood at UIC

Women's · Thursday, November 19, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Credit Union 1 Arena. Lindenwood our rank 236 · 1-3; UIC our rank 150 · 3-1.

Who will win Lindenwood vs UIC?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives UIC a 84% chance to beat Lindenwood, with a projected score of UIC 66, Lindenwood 54.

To winUIC 84%Lindenwood 16%
Projected score54–66Lindenwood, then UIC
Margin12.1UIC · no line posted
Total120.4no line posted
First half25–32UIC ahead 75%
Lindenwood by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30UIC by 40Model: UIC by 12.1Lindenwood by 20Evenby 20UIC by 40Model: UIC by 12.1

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
UIC
ColemanF · 26 min15.65.92.415+ 53%
ClaytonG · 29 min10.82.65.110+ 54%
FosterG · 27 min9.63.21.210+ 45%
KhedrG · 22 min8.13.31.110+ 34%
Lindenwood
McNeceG · 26 min8.13.01.310+ 34%
DykstraG · 30 min7.13.52.65+ 66%
RuckerG · 27 min5.34.31.35+ 49%
MantzioriG · 23 min5.12.01.05+ 47%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Julia Coleman: Lindenwood 21%UIC 79%

The white mark is the call with her: UIC 84%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsUIC without herChangeProjected score
UIC
Julia Coleman2.279%−555–65
Evyn Carrier1.282%−255–66
Lyla Kahrimanovic0.883%−155–66
Nevaeh Foster0.783%−154–66

Change is in UIC's win chance, in points. Scores read Lindenwood, then UIC. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Lindenwood 1-3LLWL

    1. Nov 10L 35-71at Louisville
    2. Nov 7W 62-49vs Evansville
    3. Nov 4L 52-66at Denver
    4. Nov 2L 46-63at Colorado St
    Last 4
    1–3, scoring 48.8 and allowing 62.2

    UIC 3-1LWWW

    1. Nov 11W 87-50vs Chicago St
    2. Nov 8W 76-71vs Northwestern
    3. Nov 5W 71-58at Robert Morris
    4. Nov 2L 34-81at Ohio State
    Last 4
    3–1, scoring 67.0 and allowing 65.0

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    LindenwoodUIC
    Points scored per 100 possessions80.9 306th94.1 126th
    Points allowed per 10092.5 140th94.7 186th
    Possessions a game69.8 345th70.4 321st
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)42.5% 326th44.4% 252nd
    Opponents' shooting45.1% 154th43.0% 43rd
    Turnovers, share of possessions23.6% 190th23.5% 183rd
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses30.8% 289th36.8% 35th
    Free throws per shot0.19 307th0.21 210th

    The widest gap: UIC's defense (186th) against Lindenwood's offense (306th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Lindenwood 25, UIC 32
    First-half margin
    UIC by 7.0
    First-half points, both teams
    57.1
    Projected second half
    Lindenwood 29, UIC 34
    Second-half points, both teams
    63.3
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Lindenwood, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 4 · 24.2 scored, 33.8 allowed
    UIC, first halves so far
    Led 3 of 4 · 34.5 scored, 32.2 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Lindenwood

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Cadence DykstraG307.13.52.60.3
    5+ pts 66% · 4+ reb 44% · 3+ ast 46%
    Brenna RuckerG275.34.31.30.8
    5+ pts 49% · 4+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 52%
    Violet McNeceG268.13.01.32.0
    10+ pts 34% · 3+ reb 53% · 2+ threes 54%
    Konstantina MantzioriG235.12.01.00.6
    5+ pts 47% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 42%
    Saniah TylerG204.91.61.21.1
    5+ pts 45% · 2+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 62%
    Anna McCarnF193.13.40.50.0
    5+ pts 26% · 4+ reb 43%
    Jarius PowersC173.53.50.50.0
    5+ pts 31% · 4+ reb 44%
    Jazlyn PowellF163.52.50.50.4
    5+ pts 30% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 33%

    UIC

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Tutu ClaytonG2910.82.65.11.1
    10+ pts 54% · 3+ reb 46% · 5+ ast 56%
    Miyah BrownG297.55.11.20.5
    5+ pts 69% · 5+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 40%
    Nevaeh FosterG279.63.21.21.9
    10+ pts 45% · 3+ reb 57% · 2+ threes 50%
    Julia ColemanF2615.65.92.40.1
    15+ pts 53% · 6+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 43%
    Salma KhedrG228.13.31.10.4
    10+ pts 34% · 3+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 35%
    Evyn CarrierC186.06.71.40.1
    5+ pts 57% · 7+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 38%
    Magdalena WinterC184.23.90.70.0
    5+ pts 38% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 16%
    Aileen Becerril LanderosG133.21.60.70.7
    5+ pts 27% · 2+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 46%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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