E Illinois at Murray St
Women's · Saturday, November 21, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at CFSB Center. E Illinois our rank 296 · 0-4; Murray St our rank 97 · 2-2.
Who will win E Illinois vs Murray St?
The model gives Murray State a 98% chance to beat Eastern Illinois, with a projected score of Murray St 83, E Illinois 59.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murray St | |||||
| PoockG · 30 min | 21.7 | 1.9 | 4.0 | 20+ 58% | |
| Currie-JelksF · 27 min | 14.6 | 9.9 | 2.0 | 15+ 47% | |
| FordG · 28 min | 12.8 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 15+ 35% | |
| JohnsonG · 21 min | 7.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 10+ 33% | |
| E Illinois | |||||
| StollerG · 30 min | 10.4 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 10+ 51% | |
| BohanonG · 27 min | 8.4 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 10+ 36% | |
| DickmanF · 31 min | 8.1 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 10+ 34% | |
| BoutilierC · 24 min | 6.8 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 5+ 63% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Sharnecce Currie-Jelks: E Illinois 5%Murray St 95%
The white mark is the call with her: Murray St 98%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Murray St without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murray St | ||||
| Sharnecce Currie-Jelks | 3.7 | 95% | −3 | 61–81 |
| Halli Poock | 2.9 | 96% | −2 | 61–82 |
| Haven Ford | 2.7 | 96% | −2 | 60–82 |
| Claire Johnson | 2.1 | 97% | −1 | 60–82 |
Change is in Murray St's win chance, in points. Scores read E Illinois, then Murray St. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
E Illinois 0-4LLLL
- Nov 11L 58-64at Saint Louis
- Nov 8L 61-77at Iowa State
- Nov 5L 39-80at Iowa
- Nov 3L 54-76at Drake
- Last 4
- 0–4, scoring 53.0 and allowing 74.2
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| E Illinois | Murray St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 82.0 296th | 103.3 47th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 98.6 264th | 95.8 213th |
| Possessions a game | 71.0 285th | 74.3 29th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 45.9% 144th | 47.0% 96th |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.0% 88th | 45.8% 200th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.7% 315th | 22.9% 130th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.0% 314th | 33.0% 166th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 120th | 0.24 41st |
The widest gap: Murray St's offense (47th) against E Illinois's defense (264th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- E Illinois 27, Murray St 41
- First-half margin
- Murray St by 13.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 67.4
- Projected second half
- E Illinois 32, Murray St 43
- Second-half points, both teams
- 74.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- E Illinois, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 4 · 24.2 scored, 37.2 allowed
- Murray St, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 34.8 scored, 30.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
E Illinois
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevaeh DickmanF | 31 | 8.1 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 4+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Clara GladG | 30 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 4+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Ava StollerG | 30 | 10.4 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 5+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Janyah BohanonG | 27 | 8.4 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 22% | |||||
| Abbie BoutilierC | 24 | 6.8 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 6+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 22% | |||||
| Nyah HardyG | 16 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 2+ reb 38% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Meioshe MasonC | 15 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 31% | |||||
| Alahnna SimpsonG | 12 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 17% · 2+ reb 36% · 1+ threes 16% | |||||
Murray St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halli PoockG | 30 | 21.7 | 1.9 | 4.0 | 3.2 |
| 20+ pts 58% · 2+ reb 50% · 3+ threes 54% | |||||
| Haven FordG | 28 | 12.8 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 1.6 |
| 15+ pts 35% · 6+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 43% | |||||
| Sharnecce Currie-JelksF | 27 | 14.6 | 9.9 | 2.0 | 0.3 |
| 15+ pts 47% · 10+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Keslyn SecristG | 25 | 6.9 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Sydney HuberG | 23 | 5.0 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 43% | |||||
| Claire JohnsonG | 21 | 7.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 2+ ast 44% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Katie ReedF | 18 | 7.5 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 4+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Destiny ThomasG | 12 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 24% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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